东营临港物流园区项目风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-10-25 14:42

【摘要】：随着现代物流业在我国的发展,为了缓解城市交通阻塞、减轻环境压力,理顺城市功能,同时为物流企业和城市带来经济和社会效益,物流园区的建设越来越受到人们的重视,但建设过程中会有很大的风险,本文以东营临港物流园区为例,对物流园区项目风险管理的流程即：风险识别、风险评价、风险管理等方面进行详细的研究,为物流企业和主管部门的风险管理提供理论依据和支持。本论文在系统分析东营临港物流园区建设项目的背景和现状后,概括识别了东营临港物流园区项目建设和运营过程中可能面临的各种风险,建立了多层次的风险评价指标体系,主要包括：市场风险、管理风险、经济风险、技术风险和环境风险。在风险评价指标体系的基础上,分析了多层次灰色综合评价的理论和方法,进而采用该方法对东营临港物流园区中的各项风险进行评价,计算结果表明物流园区建设项目的风险处于中等水平,是可以接受的。最后,根据风险评价结结果,提出了相应的风险应对与控制措施。对市场风险主要采取分析物流需求,做好可行性研究；选择恰当的运营方式；做好园区项目的招商；开展以客户为中心的营销策略等措施以降低市场风险。对管理风险采取加强管理人才的培训；对施工进行严格管理；争取政府部门的支持与帮助等措施降低管理风险。对经济风险主要采取多方筹措资金以实现投资主体、形式多样化；加强政策研究,降低成本风险；加强与政府部门的沟通,及时掌握规划及政策的变动等措施降低经济风险。对技术风险主要采取选择可靠的施工企业；选择合理的施工方案等措施降低技术风险。对环境风险主要采取加强对恶劣气候的防范；改善交通条件等措施降低环境风险。本文通过对该项目实施风险管理,为该项目的风险管理提供依据,以帮助项目决策者有效降低项目风险。
[Abstract]:With the development of modern logistics industry in China, people pay more and more attention to the construction of logistics park in order to alleviate traffic congestion, reduce environmental pressure, rationalize urban functions, and bring economic and social benefits to logistics enterprises and cities. However, there will be great risks in the process of construction. Taking Dongying Port Logistics Park as an example, this paper makes a detailed study on the process of project risk management in the logistics park, that is, risk identification, risk evaluation, risk management, and so on. Provide theoretical basis and support for risk management of logistics enterprises and departments in charge. After systematically analyzing the background and present situation of the construction project of Dongying Port Logistics Park, this paper generally identifies the various risks that may be faced in the construction and operation of Dongying Port Logistics Park project, and establishes a multi-level risk evaluation index system. Mainly include: market risk, management risk, economic risk, technical risk and environmental risk. On the basis of risk evaluation index system, this paper analyzes the theory and method of multi-level grey comprehensive evaluation, and then uses this method to evaluate the risks in Dongying port logistics park. The results show that the risk of logistics park construction project is at medium level and acceptable. Finally, according to the result of risk evaluation, the corresponding risk response and control measures are put forward. In order to reduce the market risk, we should analyze the logistics demand, do the feasibility study; choose the proper operation mode; do well the investment of the park project; carry out the customer-centered marketing strategy to reduce the market risk. To manage the risk, we should strengthen the training of management talents, strictly manage the construction, and win the support and help of the government department to reduce the risk of management. The main measures to reduce economic risk are to raise funds in various ways to realize the main body of investment and diversify the form; to strengthen policy research to reduce the cost risk; to strengthen communication with government departments; to grasp the plan and policy change in time; to reduce the economic risk. To the technical risk, we should choose the reliable construction enterprise and choose the reasonable construction plan to reduce the technical risk. Environmental risks are mainly taken to strengthen the prevention of adverse weather, improve traffic conditions and other measures to reduce environmental risks. Through carrying out the risk management of the project, this paper provides the basis for the risk management of the project, so as to help the project decision makers to reduce the project risk effectively.
【学位授予单位】：中南林业科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F259.27

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