中国温室气体减排成本有效性分析——以纯电动汽车为例

发布时间：2018-05-08 15:18

本文选题：纯电动汽车 + 全生命周期　；参考：《技术经济》2017年04期

【摘要】：从减排成本有效性的角度,研究了纯电动汽车的碳排放和减排成本的特性及其相互关系,对纯电动汽车减排成本的关键影响因素进行了敏感性分析。结果显示:在现有的技术条件下,纯电动汽车的减排成本较高,在万元每吨数量级上;纯电动汽车的减排成本随着其电池容量的加大而增加;减排成本受多方面因素的影响,有较大的下降潜力;当电池成本下降到2000元/kW·h以下或汽油价格高于11元/L时,纯电动汽车可以实现减排成本为负,此时发展纯电动汽车是极具竞争力的减排手段。
[Abstract]:From the point of view of cost effectiveness of emission reduction, the characteristics and relationship of carbon emission and emission reduction cost of pure electric vehicle are studied, and the sensitivity of the key influencing factors of emission reduction cost of pure electric vehicle is analyzed. The results show that, under the existing technical conditions, the cost of reducing emissions of pure electric vehicles is higher, which is in the order of 10,000 yuan per ton; the cost of reducing emissions of pure electric vehicles increases with the increase of its battery capacity; the cost of emission reduction is affected by many factors. When the battery cost drops below 2000 yuan / kW / h or the gasoline price is higher than 11 yuan / L, the cost of pure electric vehicle emission reduction can be negative, and the development of pure electric vehicle is a very competitive means of emission reduction.
【作者单位】：清华大学汽车工程系;清华大学汽车安全与节能国家重点实验室;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“核心技术突破路径与机制:来自中国汽车及高铁产业的实证”(71572093)
【分类号】：X196;U469.72

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