人民币国际化进程中我国黄金产业发展研究

发布时间：2018-05-09 14:45

本文选题：人民币国际化 + 黄金产业　；参考：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：人民币国际化是实现中国民族伟大复兴的中国梦,增强中国的话语权,推动当今世界货币体系改革而做出的重要抉择。2015年12月,人民币是全球第三大贸易融资货币、第五大支付货币、第五大外汇交易货币。我国GDP虽然世界第二,但是人均GDP落后,加之没有发达的金融市场体系做基础,人民币国际化前行道路依然任重而道远。要想让人民币国际化快速发展,不仅需要稳定的经济总量和金融市场作为支撑,也更需要黄金作为基石,为实现人民币国际化增信。本文首先分析黄金推动货币国际化的作用机制;再借鉴国际经验,分析英镑和美元的国际化,英镑因金本位而登顶,美元因与黄金挂钩而取代英镑成为新的世界货币。两个方面共同说明了人民币国际化也需要黄金因素。可是从黄金的需求与供给的博弈来看,黄金的需求尤其是战略需求迅速扩大,但是黄金的供给即黄金产量增长幅度并不大,其主要来源方式有自产和进口,并且进口的规模越来越大,为了摆脱对于外部国家的依赖性,需要大力发展我国的黄金产业。接着本文分析黄金产业的发展现状,对黄金产业的地质资源情况、黄金供求情况、黄金生产成本、价格及实现利润、企业规模、产业集中度进行了详细的分析。总结出我国黄金产量节节攀升,但是由于黄金价格下降,黄金生产成本上升,黄金产业利润大幅下滑,市场集中度低,因此需要研究提升黄金产业效率的方法。因此本文对黄金产业的效率进行了实证分析,利用DEA静态及动态模型对我国黄金产业7家上市企业进行了研究,得出我国黄金上市企业综合技术效率较低,企业间效率差异较大;纯技术效率和技术效率较低,规模效率递增趋势明显。总体来说黄金企业总体全要素生产率处于较低水平。接着对效率影响因素进行了面板数据分析,得出产业效率与企业规模、净资产收益率、科技创新和对外投资额有密切的联系。最后提出建议,我国黄金企业要加快黄金产业结构调整,提升市场集中度;聚焦科技创新驱动,以科技创新推动企业发展;实施成本领先战略,把降本增效向纵深推进;借助“一带一路”契机,积极实施“走出去”战略。希望这些建议可以大力推进中国黄金产业转型升级,使中国黄金产业持续健康发展。
[Abstract]:RMB internationalization is an important choice made by Chinese Dream, who has realized the great rejuvenation of China's nation, to enhance China's voice and to promote the reform of the world monetary system. In December 2015, the RMB was the third largest trade financing currency in the world. The fifth largest currency of payment, the fifth largest currency of foreign exchange transactions. Although China's GDP is the second in the world, the per capita GDP is backward, coupled with the lack of a developed financial market system as the basis, the RMB internationalization still has a long way to go. For the rapid development of RMB internationalization, it needs not only stable economic volume and financial market as the support, but also gold as the cornerstone to enhance the credibility of RMB internationalization. This paper first analyzes the mechanism of gold promoting currency internationalization, and then analyzes the internationalization of sterling and dollar, which is pegged to gold standard and replaces sterling as the new world currency. Two aspects jointly explained the RMB internationalization also needs the gold factor. However, judging from the game between the demand and supply of gold, the demand for gold, especially the strategic demand, expands rapidly. However, the supply of gold, that is, the increase in gold output, is not large, and its main sources are self-production and import. In order to get rid of the dependence on external countries, we need to develop the gold industry in China. Then this paper analyzes the present situation of gold industry, the geological resources of gold industry, the supply and demand of gold, the cost of gold production, the price and realized profit, the scale of enterprise and the degree of industrial concentration. It is concluded that China's gold production is rising, but due to the decline of gold price, the rising of gold production cost, the sharp decline of gold industry profits and the low market concentration, it is necessary to study the methods to improve the efficiency of gold industry. Therefore, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the efficiency of gold industry, studies seven listed enterprises of gold industry in China by using DEA static and dynamic models, and finds out that the comprehensive technical efficiency of gold listed enterprises in China is relatively low. The efficiency of pure technology and technical efficiency is low, and the increasing trend of scale efficiency is obvious. Overall total factor productivity of gold enterprises is at a low level. Then, the paper analyzes the factors affecting efficiency, and draws a conclusion that industrial efficiency is closely related to enterprise scale, net assets return rate, scientific and technological innovation and foreign investment. Finally, it is suggested that China's gold enterprises should speed up the adjustment of gold industry structure, enhance the market concentration, focus on the drive of scientific and technological innovation, promote the development of enterprises with scientific and technological innovation, implement the cost leading strategy, and push forward the reduction of cost and increase efficiency in depth. Take advantage of "Belt and Road" opportunity, carry out "go out" strategy actively. I hope these suggestions can promote the transformation and upgrading of China's gold industry and make China's gold industry continue to develop healthily.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F832.6;F832.54

【参考文献】