能源要素与经济增长模型及实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-12 23:22

本文选题：能源要素　切入点：生产函数　出处：《西南交通大学》2008年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 就经济学的发展历史而言,经济学自从其诞生之日起就将经济增长问题作为其主要的研究内容之一。而经济增长的源泉问题则是经济增长问题中的核心问题。早期的古典经济学主要关注资本和劳动在经济增长中的作用。在新古典经济学中,技术进步开始成为经济学家关注的焦点。到70年代,通过贝克尔、门采尔、舒尔茨等一批经济学家的贡献,人们开始关注人力资本在促进经济长期增长中的作用。而制度经济学则关注各种制度变革对长期经济增长的影响。随着可持续发展观念的提出和影响日渐扩大,人们开始认识到能源对经济长期稳定增长具有重要影响。在早期的经济发展中,能源通常是归入资本范畴的,它们并没有单独作为一种要素投入成为经济学家的分析范畴。一方面是因为早期的经济增长主要是依靠劳动力的投入和资本的积累,生产过程中对能源的需求不是很大;另一方面则是因为即使生产过程有对能源的需求,但由于相对于能源的储量来说还是很少,能源的稀缺性没有表现出来,其价格在较长时间内通常保持不变。随着科技的发展,人类利用能源发展经济的能力越来越强,能源对经济发展的重要性已日益凸现。与此同时,随着生产中能源消耗量的日益增长,能源危机也开始显现。因此,将能源从资本中剥离出来作为单独的一种要素投入,从而考察能源与经济增长的关系,能源与其他要素的关系,具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文以C-D生产函数为基础,通过引入能源要素对传统的生产函数进行扩展,运用动态优化理论,考察了能源与长期经济的关系。文中分别在新古典分析框架和内生经济增长分析框架下考察了不可再生能源与可再生能源约束下经济实现可持续发展的可能性,路径,以及实现条件。运用传统的计量模型实证分析了能源要素投入与经济增长的函数关系与比例关系,以及各要素投入对产出的贡献度;运用非传统计量经济分析方法分析了能源要素投入与经济增长的定性与定量关系;运用状态空间模型考察了能源要素投入及其他要素投入与经济增长的动态关系;并且首次分析了我国能源价格波动与能源强度变化的均衡关系和非均衡的动态关系。
[Abstract]:As far as the history of economics is concerned, Since its birth, economics has made the issue of economic growth one of its main research contents. The source of economic growth is the core of the problem of economic growth. The role of Ben and Labor in Economic growth. In neoclassical economics, In 70s, through the contributions of a group of economists such as Becker, Menzel, Schultz, etc. People begin to pay attention to the role of human capital in promoting long-term economic growth, while institutional economics is concerned about the impact of various institutional changes on long-term economic growth. People are beginning to realize that energy has an important impact on long-term and stable economic growth. In the early years of economic development, energy was usually classified as capital. On the one hand, the early economic growth mainly depends on labor input and capital accumulation, and the demand for energy in the production process is not very large; On the other hand, even if there is a demand for energy in the production process, but because the scarcity of energy is still small relative to the reserves of energy, the price of energy usually stays the same for a longer period of time. The ability of human beings to use energy to develop the economy is becoming stronger and stronger, and the importance of energy to economic development is becoming more and more obvious. At the same time, with the increasing consumption of energy in production, the energy crisis is beginning to appear. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to separate energy from capital as a single factor input, and to investigate the relationship between energy and economic growth, and between energy and other elements. In this paper, based on C-D production function, the traditional production function is extended by introducing energy elements, and dynamic optimization theory is used. In this paper, the relationship between energy and long-term economy is investigated, and the possibility and path of sustainable economic development under the constraints of non-renewable energy and renewable energy are investigated under the framework of neoclassical analysis and endogenous economic growth, respectively. Using the traditional econometric model, the paper empirically analyzes the functional and proportional relationship between energy input and economic growth, as well as the contribution of each factor input to the output. The qualitative and quantitative relationship between energy factor input and economic growth is analyzed by using non-traditional econometric analysis method, and the dynamic relationship between energy element input and other factor input and economic growth is investigated by using state space model. The equilibrium and disequilibrium dynamic relationship between energy price fluctuation and energy intensity change are analyzed for the first time.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：F224;F407.2;F061.2

【引证文献】