产业创新动态系统的进化博弈模型研究

发布时间：2018-05-21 12:28

本文选题：产业创新 + 动态系统　；参考：《合肥工业大学》2008年硕士论文

【摘要】： 本论文以创新、进化博弈、产业经济、动态系统理论为基础，建立了产业创新动态系统的进化博弈数学模型并对该系统的进化稳定状态进行了参数分析，在此基础上，研究了现阶段中国实施的创新政策对产业创新系统的政策效果。本文的研究内容从下面几个方面展开： 1．产业创新动态系统与生物种群进化系统的相似性，这是本文的逻辑模型。 2．产业创新动态系统数学模型的建立及进化稳定状态分析。模型建立在复制动态机制上，分析了固定参数下该系统的进化均衡状态。分析得出，系统的进化均衡状态取决于创新策略的收益、成本、保守策略的得益三个参数。从而，产业创新是否能够成功也取决于以上三者。这部分的研究提出了基本模型，是下面研究的基础。 3．参数变化对产业创新动态系统进化稳定状态的影响研究。研究指出创新成本随时间减少导致创新在整个产业中经历了引入、大量进入、稳定、淘汰的过程，即产业创新生命周期。而当创新收益随着采用者数目的增加而减少时，创新是否能够在产业中成功由首家采用创新的企业是否能够获得超额剩余价值决定。 4．政府鼓励创新政策对产业创新动态系统的影响研究。在基本模型基础上，分析指出，供给、需求政策直接作用于新技术本身，而环境政策则致力于构建鼓励创新的大环境。三者对产业创新系统的作用机制是不同的，环境政策的作用范围较广，且不同的政策效果不同。本论文通过上面的研究指出，建立在竞争、模仿基础上的企业与企业之间的关系上的产业中，尽管创新收益大于保守收益，创新并不能自发在产业中成功进行。复制动态机制下的产业创新是有条件的，因此政府的适当干预是必要的。
[Abstract]:Based on the theory of innovation, evolutionary game, industrial economy and dynamic system, the mathematical model of evolutionary game of dynamic industrial innovation system is established in this paper, and the evolutionary stable state of the system is analyzed. This paper studies the effect of China's innovation policy on industrial innovation system. The research contents of this paper are as follows: 1. The similarity between the dynamic system of industrial innovation and the evolutionary system of biological population is the logical model of this paper. 2. The establishment of dynamic system mathematical model of industrial innovation and the analysis of the state of evolution stability. The model is based on the dynamic mechanism of replication, and the evolutionary equilibrium of the system with fixed parameters is analyzed. It is concluded that the evolution equilibrium of the system depends on three parameters: the income, the cost and the benefit of the conservative strategy. Thus, the success of industrial innovation depends on the above three. This part of the study proposed a basic model, which is the basis of the following research. 3. The influence of parameter change on evolution stability of industrial innovation dynamic system is studied. It is pointed out that the cost of innovation decreases with time leading to the process of introducing, entering, stabilizing and eliminating innovation in the whole industry, that is, the life cycle of industrial innovation. When the innovation income decreases with the increase of the number of adopters, the success of innovation in the industry depends on whether the first enterprise adopting innovation can obtain excess surplus value. 4. Research on the impact of the Government's Innovation Policy on the dynamic system of Industrial Innovation. On the basis of the basic model, it is pointed out that the supply and demand policies directly affect the new technology itself, while the environmental policy is devoted to the construction of the environment to encourage innovation. The action mechanism of the three on industrial innovation system is different, the scope of environmental policy is wide, and the effect of different policy is different. Through the above research, this paper points out that in the industry based on competition and imitation, the innovation can not be carried out successfully in the industry, although the innovation income is larger than the conservative income. Industrial innovation under dynamic replication mechanism is conditional, so appropriate government intervention is necessary.
【学位授予单位】：合肥工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：F062.9;F224.32

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