污染红利与污染集聚的机理与实证

发布时间：2019-02-28 18:31

【摘要】：文章用污染要素的替代效应与成本效应对污染集聚的形成机理进行了分析,研究结果说明污染红利会带来污染集聚。首先,污染替代效应会导致污染密集型产业成为主导产业;其次,污染成本效应一方面会导致单个企业排污加大,另一方面还会扩大污染密集型企业的数量;第三,污染替代效应和成本效应作为污染总效应的分支,二者的作用是累加的,不会互相抵消。为了检验该研究结论的正确性,本文用内蒙古工业规模效应、工业结构效应、工业科技效应指标对该省废气排放总量进行了回归分析,结果支持了上述研究结论。首先,有利于把污染当作红利使用的工业规模效应与工业科技效应均促进了废气排放的增加;其次,抑制把污染当作红利使用的工业结构效应则促进了废气排放的减少。因此,我国彻底治理环境污染是一项长期的任务,我们在加大产业结构调整的过程中,尤应加大对污染密集型产业的抑制。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the formation mechanism of pollution agglomeration by the substitution effect and cost effect of pollution factors. The results show that pollution dividend will bring about pollution agglomeration. First of all, pollution substitution effect will lead to pollution-intensive industries becoming the dominant industry; secondly, pollution cost effect will lead to a single enterprise pollution increase on the one hand, on the other hand, will also expand the number of pollution-intensive enterprises; Third, pollution substitution effect and cost effect as the branch of the total pollution effect, the two effects are cumulative, not offset each other. In order to verify the correctness of the research conclusion, the regression analysis of the total exhaust gas emissions in Inner Mongolia was carried out by using the industrial scale effect, industrial structure effect and industrial science and technology effect index. The results supported the above conclusions. Firstly, the industrial scale effect and the industrial scientific and technological effect, which are beneficial to the use of pollution as dividends, promote the increase of exhaust emissions, and secondly, the suppression of industrial structure effects which use pollution as dividends promotes the reduction of exhaust emissions. Therefore, it is a long-term task to control environmental pollution thoroughly in our country. In the process of industrial structure adjustment, we should increase the inhibition of pollution-intensive industries.
【作者单位】：财政部财政科学研究所;
【分类号】：X196

【参考文献】