大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案评价研究

发布时间：2018-06-19 14:40

本文选题：大型活动 + 城市轨道交通　；参考：《上海工程技术大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：大中城市举办大型活动的频次跟随着城市经济的快速发展而越发频繁。大型活动在短时间和小空间范围内带来的交通问题亦日益突显,客流和车流的激增给原本拥挤的大中城市轨道交通带来了巨大的挑战。显然,通过加强公共交通硬件设施来缓解大型活动给城市交通带来的冲击是不现实、不经济的,要不违背城市轨道交通可持续发展战略的要求,唯有制定科学的保障措施来缓解。而对大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案的评价有利于发现保障方案的优缺点,从而为建立更完善的保障方案做后盾。然而,迄今为止,在城市轨道交通领域,还未形成一套科学的、系统化的评价轨道交通保障方案指标体系。本研究目的在于为大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营方案的评价提供理论支撑。论文从以下三个方面来评价大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案。一是通过问卷调查、访谈城市轨道交通工作人员获得的数据、城市轨道交通管理者提供的数据以及查阅相关文献所得的数据,明确从乘客和政府两个评价主体去建立大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案的评价指标体系,运用SERVQUAL模型,以获取乘客方对保障方案的感知评价。二是利用结构熵权法确定政府对运营保障方案各级指标的权重,权重与各指标的专家打分,得到各指标的实际评分。三是运用博弈均衡理论,从乘客和政府两方面找寻有制约关系或者联系的指标进行博弈,运用博弈理论,找寻博弈均衡点,将均衡点反映到方案的具体措施中,以期完善被评价的保障方案。论文主要包括七个章节:第一章介绍选题背景、目的意义、研究内容;第二章讲述国内外研究综述以及相关概念简介;第三章建立大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案评价指标体系;第四章选择科学的评价方法去评价运营保障方案;第五章案例分析,将本研究构建的大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案评价体系运用到F1中国大奖赛的保障方案中,验证本研究的实用性;第六章介绍了大型活动期间城市轨道交通运营保障方案的评价前景及展望。
[Abstract]:Large and medium-sized cities hold large-scale activities with the rapid development of urban economy and more frequent. The traffic problems caused by large-scale activities in short time and small space range are also increasingly prominent. The surge of passenger and vehicle flows has brought huge challenges to the originally crowded urban rail transit. Obviously, it is unrealistic and uneconomical to mitigate the impact of large-scale activities on urban transportation by strengthening public transport hardware facilities, and it is not against the requirements of the sustainable development strategy of urban rail transit. Scientific safeguards are the only way to ease it. The evaluation of the urban rail transit operation security scheme during the large-scale activities will help to discover the advantages and disadvantages of the security scheme, thus providing the backing for the establishment of a more perfect security scheme. However, up to now, in the field of urban rail transit, there has not been a scientific, systematic evaluation of rail transit security program index system. The purpose of this study is to provide theoretical support for the evaluation of urban rail transit operation scheme. The thesis evaluates the urban rail transit operation guarantee scheme from the following three aspects. The first is the data obtained through questionnaires, interviews with urban rail transit staff, data provided by urban rail transit managers and data obtained by consulting relevant literature. The evaluation index system of urban rail transit operation guarantee scheme is established from two main evaluation subjects of passenger and government, and the SERVQUAL model is used to obtain the passenger's perception and evaluation of the security scheme. The second is to use the structure entropy method to determine the weight of the government to the operation guarantee scheme at all levels, the weight and the expert of each index score, get the actual score of each index. The third is to use the game equilibrium theory, from the passenger and the government to find the restrictive relationship or related indicators to game, using the game theory, to find the game equilibrium point, the equilibrium point will be reflected in the specific measures of the scheme. In order to improve the evaluation of the security program. The thesis mainly includes seven chapters: the first chapter introduces the background of the topic, the significance of the purpose, the content of the research, the second chapter describes the domestic and foreign research overview and the introduction of related concepts; The third chapter establishes the evaluation index system of urban rail transit operation guarantee scheme during the large-scale activities; the fourth chapter selects the scientific evaluation method to evaluate the operation security scheme; the fifth chapter case analysis, In order to verify the practicability of this study, the evaluation system of urban rail transit operation guarantee scheme is applied to the F1 China Grand Prix. The sixth chapter introduces the evaluation prospect and prospect of the urban rail transit operation guarantee scheme during the large-scale activities.
【学位授予单位】：上海工程技术大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F572;F224.32

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