羊群行为视角下农户生产的“一家两制”分析——基于山东784份农户调查数据

发布时间：2018-01-08 05:24

本文关键词：羊群行为视角下农户生产的“一家两制”分析——基于山东784份农户调查数据　出处：《湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于农户在"一家两制"现象扩散过程中的领头羊和追随者两种角色,结合贝叶斯学习理论和信息瀑布理论分别给出其决策模型,并借助模型刻画了追随者如何受到领头羊行为的影响而采纳"一家两制"生产行为。基于山东省784份农户调查数据,从领头羊行为和家庭特征、市场因素、生产规范、认知方面选取15个变量,运用Logit模型、Probit模型、Cloglog模型、工具变量法对农户采纳"一家两制"的影响因素进行分析。结果表明:周围领头羊的行为对农户采用"一家两制"生产行为具有显著的正向影响,且这一结果很稳健。这说明正确榜样的缺失导致了农户对农药化肥等化学投入品使用"一家两制"现象的扩散。
[Abstract]:Farmers in the "diffusion two systems" phenomenon in the process of leader and follower based on the combination of two kinds of roles, were given the decision model of Bayesian learning theory and information theory and the model of waterfall, depicts the influence of leader behavior by followers to adopt "two systems" production behavior in Shandong province 784 household survey. Based on the data from the characteristics, leader behavior and family factors of market, production specifications, select 15 variables of cognitive aspects, using Logit model, Probit model, Cloglog model, to analyze the farmers' adoption of influence factors of "two systems" instrumental variable method. The results show that the surrounding leader behavior has a significant positive effect for farmers using "two systems" production behavior, and this result is robust. This shows that the lack of correct model leads to the farmers on the pesticide and fertilizer use of chemical inputs "two systems" The diffusion of the image.

【作者单位】：中国邮政储蓄银行博士后科研工作站;中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71173225)
【分类号】：F323.6
【正文快照】： 一、问题的提出中国大多数农户的农业生产在市场经济的大背景下依然存在自然经济的成分,即农产品以市场交换为主,同时伴有自给自足。这使得农户既具有生产者特点又具有消费者特点。作为生产者,农户从事农业生产的目的是为了追求收益最大化;作为消费者,农户有着保障自身食品安

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