我国大豆进口定价权缺失问题研究

发布时间：2018-01-13 18:29

本文关键词：我国大豆进口定价权缺失问题研究　出处：《浙江工商大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：大豆是人们蛋白质的重要来源。1996年,我国由大豆净出口国变成了大豆净进口国。2014年我国进口大豆7140万吨,进口总量占到全世界贸易总量的60%以上。虽然我国在大豆国际贸易中是需求大国,但我国在大豆的国际贸易中并没有定价权。我国大豆的定价权缺失也成为了理论界的共识。本文首先总结了国内外学者关于定价权和我国大豆定价权的优秀研究文献。接着从宏观的两个方面出发归纳了大豆国际定价机理,指出大豆的国际定价是由经济供需因素和金融期货持仓等综合作用的结果。然后分析指出我国在经济金融两条不同路径的参与程度和影响力度不够是我国大豆定价权缺失的较主要原因,之后介绍了我国大豆进口定价机理。然后从数据和理论的角度分析了大豆国际贸易市场结构,包括当前世界大豆供需和进出口的数量和结构,指出当前国际大豆的供需双方为寡头垄断市场。然后对我国大豆进口价格和CBOT大豆期货合约价格进行格兰杰因果关系检验分析,并指出我国大豆的进口价格是国际期货价格的接受者,缺乏进口定价权。最后综合以上的理论和实证分析概括了我国大豆进口定价权缺失的原因,并结合原因为我国提升定价权提出了建议。
[Abstract]:Soybean is an important source of protein. In 1996, China changed from a net exporter of soybean to a net importer of soybean. In 2014, China imported 71.4 million tons of soybeans. Imports account for more than 60% of the world's total trade, although China is a large demand country in the international trade of soybeans. However, there is no pricing power in the international trade of soybean in China. The lack of pricing power of soybean in China has also become the consensus of the theoretical circle. This paper first summarizes the excellent research on pricing power and soybean pricing right in China and abroad. Then the mechanism of soybean international pricing was summarized from two aspects. It is pointed out that the international pricing of soybeans is the result of the combination of economic supply and demand factors and financial futures positions. Then, it is pointed out that the degree and influence of China's participation in the two different paths of economy and finance is not enough. The main reason for the absence of the right to price. Then it introduces the mechanism of soybean import pricing in China, and then analyzes the structure of soybean international trade market from the point of view of data and theory, including the quantity and structure of soybean supply and demand and import and export in the world. It is pointed out that the current international soybean supply and demand market is oligopoly market. Then the Granger causality analysis is carried out on the import price of Chinese soybean and the price of CBOT soybean futures contract. It is pointed out that the import price of soybean in China is the recipient of international futures price and lacks the import pricing power. Finally, the reasons for the lack of import pricing right of soybean in China are summarized through the theoretical and empirical analysis above. Combined with the reasons for the promotion of pricing power in China put forward suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：浙江工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.12;F752.61

【参考文献】