陕北黄土丘陵沟壑区农户气候变化的适应行为及影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-10-05 08:12

【摘要】：从农户个体微观视角,研究农业的活动主体——农户的气候变化适应行为。选择陕北黄土丘陵沟壑区,采用问卷调查和半结构式访谈相结合的方法研究农户气候变化感知与适应行为,运用二元逻辑回归模型分析影响该地区农户适应行为的因素。结果表明:农户对气候变化趋势感知比较一致,认为近5年夏季和冬季气温升高,降水减少,但与实际观测存在一定偏差。农户应对气候变化采取适应行为的比重并不高,只有57.8%的农户表示采取了相应的措施来应对气候变化。农户适应行为受气候变化感知的影响,此外,家庭社会经济属性对农户采取适应行为的概率影响显著,而性别、年龄、文化程度等人口属性因素与农户采取适应行为的概率关系不大。
[Abstract]:This paper studies the adaptation behavior of farmers to climate change from the micro perspective of farmers. This paper chooses Loess Hilly and Gully region in Northern Shaanxi to study the climate change perception and adaptation behavior of peasant households by means of questionnaire survey and semi-structured interview. The factors influencing the adaptive behavior of farmers in this region are analyzed by using the dual logic regression model. The results show that the farmers' perception of climate change trend is consistent. It is considered that the temperature increases and precipitation decreases in summer and winter in the last five years, but there is a certain deviation from the actual observation. Only 57.8% of farmers said they had taken appropriate measures to cope with climate change. The adaptation behavior of farmers is affected by climate change perception. In addition, the social and economic attributes of households have a significant impact on the probability of farmers to adopt adaptive behavior, and gender, age, The population attribute factors such as education level have little relation with the probability of peasant households adopting adaptive behavior.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(40801008) 教育部人文社科基金项目(15YJCZH141) 中央高校基本科研业务费项目(14SZYB15)
【分类号】：S162;F323.6

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