新疆农村经济益贫式增长测度研究

发布时间：2019-03-15 06:58

【摘要】：随着新疆经济的快速增长,新疆农村的经济也在稳步提升,但是新疆农村,尤其是南疆三地州和新疆边境农村的居民收入差距在加大,贫困程度也在加大。自2001年起,为了解决新疆农村居民的温饱问题,新疆响应我国的扶贫纲要,开始全面进入了扶贫的阶段。新疆作为我国重点的扶贫地区之一,中央也决定大力开展援疆工作,让各个省份帮助新疆贫困地区的居民尽快地脱贫,尽快地缩小新疆农村经济差距,以及新疆农村,南北疆之间的收入差距,使得新疆农村经济的增长更加有益于贫困的减少。基于此,本文对新疆经济的益贫式增长及影响益贫性的原因进行研究。本文以研究新疆农村经济增长是否益贫,以及影响益贫性的主要因素为目标,选取新疆2000年到2012年的的新疆年鉴的数据对新疆农村贫困现状,收入差距现状以及经济发展状况进行了分析。本文的研究主要分为了四部分:第一部分主要介绍一些益贫式增长理论和益贫式增长测度指标,以及对Lorenz曲线和基尼系数做了介绍。第二部分主要是对新疆农村经济发展状况,收入差距以及贫困现状分析。这一部分对非贫困县和国家级贫困县的农村居民收入以及南北疆农村经济发展现状进行比较分析,并对新疆农村国民生产总值和我国的进行比较分析。应用新疆各县市的农村数据做了收入分布的非参数核密度估计。第三部分主要是对新疆农村经济益贫式增长的实证分析。本部分通过计算估计洛伦茨曲线的参数,然后求基尼系数,FGT指数,以及对新疆农村否益贫进行判定,最后再对FGT指数进行Shapely分解。第四部分主要是对前面的分析做最后的总结和提出政策建议。本文研究发现,新疆南北疆以及贫困县和非贫困县农村近些年的经济一直在增长,但是贫富差距却也在加剧。新疆农村出现过几年的返贫现象。新疆农村在2000-2002年和2008-2010年是益贫的,而北疆农村在全部所选的年份都是益贫的,南疆在2004-2008年和2010-2012年是益贫的,其他的年份都是不益贫的,而且影响益贫效应的主要是由收入分配不均和贫困线变动造成的。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of Xinjiang's economy, Xinjiang's rural economy is also steadily improving, but Xinjiang's rural areas, especially the three states of southern Xinjiang and Xinjiang border rural residents' income gap is increasing, the degree of poverty is also increasing. Since 2001, in order to solve the problem of food and clothing of rural residents in Xinjiang, Xinjiang has entered the stage of poverty alleviation in an all-round way in response to the outline of poverty alleviation in China. Xinjiang, as one of the key areas of poverty alleviation in China, the Central Committee has also decided to vigorously carry out the work of supporting Xinjiang, so that various provinces can help the residents of poor areas in Xinjiang get rid of poverty as soon as possible, narrow the economic gap in Xinjiang's rural areas as soon as possible, and the rural areas of Xinjiang The income gap between the north and south of Xinjiang makes the growth of rural economy in Xinjiang more beneficial to the reduction of poverty. Based on this, this paper studies the economic growth of Xinjiang and the causes of its influence. In order to study whether the rural economic growth in Xinjiang is beneficial to poverty and the main factors affecting the poverty, this paper selects the data of Xinjiang Yearbook from 2000 to 2012 to analyze the poverty situation in rural areas of Xinjiang. The current situation of income gap and economic development are analyzed. The research in this paper is divided into four parts: the first part mainly introduces the theory of pro-poor growth and the measure index of pro-poor growth, as well as the Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient. The second part mainly analyzes the situation of rural economic development, income gap and poverty in Xinjiang. This part makes a comparative analysis of the income of rural residents in non-poverty counties and national poverty counties as well as the present situation of rural economic development in the north and south of Xinjiang, and makes a comparative analysis of the gross national product of rural areas in Xinjiang and China. The nonparametric kernel density of income distribution is estimated by using the rural data of every county and city in Xinjiang. The third part is the empirical analysis of the growth of rural economy in Xinjiang. In this part, the parameters of Lorenz curve are estimated, then the Gini coefficient, FGT index and the negative poverty of rural areas in Xinjiang are determined. Finally, the FGT index is decomposed by Shapely. The fourth part is to make a final summary of the previous analysis and put forward policy recommendations. This paper finds that the economy of the north-south Xinjiang and the poor and non-poor counties has been increasing in recent years, but the gap between the rich and the poor is also increasing. Xinjiang countryside has had several years of poverty return phenomenon. Rural areas in Xinjiang have benefited from poverty in 2000-2002 and 2008-2010, while rural areas in northern Xinjiang have benefited from poverty in all selected years, while southern Xinjiang has benefited from poverty in 2004-2008 and 2010-2012, and other years are not. And the effect of increasing poverty is mainly caused by income inequality and the change of poverty line.
【学位授予单位】：新疆财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.8

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