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尼泊尔农业政策对小农户粮食安全与收入的影响分析:基于多市场模型

发布时间:2021-04-29 23:07
  尼泊尔拥有2890万人口,1470万公顷农业土地,占土地总面积的28.7%。2010年至2015年尼泊尔连续五年出现了粮食过剩的情况,但在2016年尼泊尔出现了粮食短缺,赤字达71,387吨(MOAD,2018)。在过去的历史中,粮食过剩和粮食赤字交替的状况也时有发生,因此实现粮食安全仍然是尼泊尔政府的一项重要议程。根据粮农组织(2009),粮食安全的四大支柱是食物供应、食物获取、使用和利用。虽然食物的供应主要与食物的生产有关,但在特定的国家,食物的获取在很大程度上受农业和食品政策的影响。什么样的政府政策有利于维护粮食安全?本文提出的论文考察了尼泊尔与农业政策相关的五种政策情景,包括(1)降低对进口大米的关税;(2)改善了农村基础设施,降低城市和农村价格之间的交易成本和营销利润率;(3)降低运输和仓储成本以减少季节性价格变化;(4)对化肥进口实行补贴;(5)通过改进农业推广服务和/或提供高产品种而提高了稻米生产力。通过研究这些政策情景,该研究旨在找出尼泊尔如何实现粮食安全的原因以及是否会增加小农户的收入。这项研究的主要目标是研究农业政策对粮食安全的影响,并探索其他对农村贫困人口更有效的... 

【文章来源】:中国农业科学院北京市

【文章页数】:146 页

【学位级别】:博士

【文章目录】:
摘要
Abstract
Acknowledgement
Abbreviation
CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background to the study
    1.2 Food Security in 2017 Nepal
    1.3 Crop Production update in Nepal
    1.4 Perception of Food security and policy implication
    1.5 Statement of Problem
    1.6 Research aims and objectives:
    1.7 Purpose and Significance
CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 Current debates and researches in the field
    2.2 Global food crisis and Nepal
    2.3 Agriculture Development and food security Policies in Nepal
    2.4 Entitlement framework
Chapter 3. Research Methods
    3.1 Introduction
    3.2 Data Sources
    3.3 Multi market model
    3.4 DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL
        3.4.1 Product Categories
        3.4.2 Households
        3.4.3 Structure of the Model
            1.Price Block
            2.Supply Block
            3.Input Demand Block
            4.Consumption Block
            5.Income Block
            6.Equilibrium Conditions
    3.5 Data & Calibration
    3.6 1Levels
    3.7 Prices
    3.8 Elasticities
Chapter 4 : Policy Simulation Scenarios
    Policy Simulation results and Conclusion
        4.1 a reduction in the tariffs imposed on food imports with respect to rice :
        4.2 an improvement in the rural infrastructure reducing transactions costs and marketing margins
        4.3 a reduction in storage costs, and a combination of reduced transportation and storage costs to reduce seasonal price variation;
        4.4 the introduction of a subsidy on fertilizer imports;
        4.5 an increase in rice productivity following from improved extension services and/or high yielding varieties and from more intensive use of exogenously determined inputs
Chapter 5 : Conclusion
Appendex I : Summary of Major Agriculture and Food related Policy
Appendix II: Elasticities
Appendix III: GAMS Codes
REFRENCES



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