气候变化对孟加拉国农业经济的影响
发布时间：2021-06-28 13:52
农业是孟加拉国经济的主要支柱,农业产值占国民生产总值的17%左右,并为该国约45%的劳动力创造就业机会,孟加拉国70%左右的人直接依靠农业为生。这一部门在确保国家粮食安全、总体经济增长、消除贫困和实现工业化的经济结构改革方面发挥着重要作用。人民的生活和整个经济的发展取决于农业生产和农业收入。孟加拉国近75%的人口住在农村,其中大多数依靠农业部门。孟加拉国普遍存在气候风险和自然灾害,使其成为世界上一个非常脆弱的国家。由于气候变化,洪水、冰雹、干旱、降水变化和其他事件的严重程度和频率的增加,降低了发展中国家农民的生计能力。孟加拉国的农业部门主要面临大规模的洪水和飓风,这些灾害摧毁了整个经济和农作物。农业的迅速增长有助于减轻贫困,并为农民提供生计。尽管农业部门对孟加拉国的整体经济作出了巨大贡献,但该国的农业仍处于欠发达状态。本文通过综合考虑气候变化对整个农作物种植的影响,而不是关注某一特定作物的产量,从而更好地揭示了农业部门对气候变化的脆弱性。本研究既考虑了农民的每公顷纯收入,又考虑了农业部门的耕地价值,同时也考虑了气候变化影响下的收入和损失。该研究以孟加拉的蒂斯塔·米德平原、旧雅鲁藏布江平...
【文章来源】：西北农林科技大学陕西省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：144 页
【学位级别】：博士
【文章目录】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background and Significance of the Research
1.2 Research Objectives
1.3 Research Questions
1.4 Conceptual Model
1.5 Scope and Limitations of the Study
1.6 Assumption of the Study
1.7 Thesis Structure
CHAPTER 2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 Approaches and Methodologies for Measuring the Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture
2.1.1 Theoretical Literature:Measuring the Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture
2.1.1.1 General Equilibrium Approaches
2.1.1.2 The Partial Equlibrium Appraoch
2.1.1.2.1 The Crop Suitability Approach
2.1.1.2.2 Agro-Economic Approaches
2.1.1.2.3 Ricardian Approach
2.2 Empirical Studies of the Ricardian Approach
CHAPTER 3 CLIMATE AND AGRICULTURE IN BANGLADESH:AN OVERVIEW
3.1 Geographic Description
3.2 Agro-Ecological Zones(AEZs)
3.3 Cropping Pattern
3.4 Climate Seasons
3.5 Rainfall
3.6 Temperature
3.7 GMB(Ganga-Brahmaputra-Meghna)River Basin
3.8 Soils
3.9 Topography
3.10 Climatic Zones
3.11 Agriculture in Bangladesh- Current Role and Situation Analysis
3.12 Vulnerabilities to Climate Change
3.12.1 A Low Topography Bisected by Major River System
3.12.2 Cyclones
3.12.3 Sea Level Rise
3.12.4 Salinity Intrusion
3.12.5 Floods
CHAPTER 4 THEORETICAL BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
4.1 Introduction
4.2 A Theoretical Perspective of Ricardian Model
4.3 Adapting to Climate Change in Agriculture
4.4 Conclusion
CHAPTER 5 RESEARCH DESIGN
5.1 Study Area
5.2 Sampling Design,Procedure and Methods
5.3 Data Description
5.4 Summary Statistics
5.5 Climate Data
5.6 Farmers' Socioeconomic Characteristics
5.7 Description of Variables to Measure the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Production and Farmland Values
5.8 Impact of Predicted Future Climate Change on Farmer Net Income/Land Value
5.9 Empirical Model Specification for Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Net Crop Income
5.10 Empirical Model Specification for Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Farmland Values
CHAPTER 6 CLIMATE CHANGE,NET INCOME AND CROP FARMING IN BANGLADESH
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Materials and Methods
6.2.1 Location of the Study
6.2.2 Sampling and Data
6.2.3 Ricardian Methodology
6.2.4 Empirical Model Specification
6.3 Results and Discussion
6.3.1 Climate Variables and Net Crop Income
6.3.2 Estimates of Marginal Impacts
6.3.3 Marginal Impacts of Climate across7 Selected AEZs
6.3.4 Climate Projections and Their Impacts on Net Crop Incomes
6.4 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
CHAPTER 7 CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON FARMLAND VALUES
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Materials and Methods
7.2.1 Location of the Study
7.2.2 Sampling and Data
7.2.3 Ricardian Methodology
7.2.4 Empirical Model Specification
7.3 Results and Discussions
7.3.1 Climate Variables and Farmland Value
7.3.2 Estimates of Marginal Impacts
7.3.3 Climate Projections and Its Impacts on Farmland Values
7.4 Conclusions
CHAPTER 8 PERCEPTIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND ADAPTATION BEHAVIOR OF FARMERS
8.1 Introduction
8.2.Farmers' Perceptions of the Impact of Climate Change on Farm Productivity and Farmland Values
8.3 Farmers' Present and Future Adaptation Behavior
8.4 Conclusions
CHAPTER 9 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
9.1 Summary
9.2 Policy Implications,Limitations and Future Research
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
LIST OF PUBLICATIONS
本文编号：3254440
【文章来源】：西北农林科技大学陕西省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：144 页
【学位级别】：博士
【文章目录】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background and Significance of the Research
1.2 Research Objectives
1.3 Research Questions
1.4 Conceptual Model
1.5 Scope and Limitations of the Study
1.6 Assumption of the Study
1.7 Thesis Structure
CHAPTER 2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 Approaches and Methodologies for Measuring the Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture
2.1.1 Theoretical Literature:Measuring the Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture
2.1.1.1 General Equilibrium Approaches
2.1.1.2 The Partial Equlibrium Appraoch
2.1.1.2.1 The Crop Suitability Approach
2.1.1.2.2 Agro-Economic Approaches
2.1.1.2.3 Ricardian Approach
2.2 Empirical Studies of the Ricardian Approach
CHAPTER 3 CLIMATE AND AGRICULTURE IN BANGLADESH:AN OVERVIEW
3.1 Geographic Description
3.2 Agro-Ecological Zones(AEZs)
3.3 Cropping Pattern
3.4 Climate Seasons
3.5 Rainfall
3.6 Temperature
3.7 GMB(Ganga-Brahmaputra-Meghna)River Basin
3.8 Soils
3.9 Topography
3.10 Climatic Zones
3.11 Agriculture in Bangladesh- Current Role and Situation Analysis
3.12 Vulnerabilities to Climate Change
3.12.1 A Low Topography Bisected by Major River System
3.12.2 Cyclones
3.12.3 Sea Level Rise
3.12.4 Salinity Intrusion
3.12.5 Floods
CHAPTER 4 THEORETICAL BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
4.1 Introduction
4.2 A Theoretical Perspective of Ricardian Model
4.3 Adapting to Climate Change in Agriculture
4.4 Conclusion
CHAPTER 5 RESEARCH DESIGN
5.1 Study Area
5.2 Sampling Design,Procedure and Methods
5.3 Data Description
5.4 Summary Statistics
5.5 Climate Data
5.6 Farmers' Socioeconomic Characteristics
5.7 Description of Variables to Measure the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Production and Farmland Values
5.8 Impact of Predicted Future Climate Change on Farmer Net Income/Land Value
5.9 Empirical Model Specification for Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Net Crop Income
5.10 Empirical Model Specification for Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Farmland Values
CHAPTER 6 CLIMATE CHANGE,NET INCOME AND CROP FARMING IN BANGLADESH
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Materials and Methods
6.2.1 Location of the Study
6.2.2 Sampling and Data
6.2.3 Ricardian Methodology
6.2.4 Empirical Model Specification
6.3 Results and Discussion
6.3.1 Climate Variables and Net Crop Income
6.3.2 Estimates of Marginal Impacts
6.3.3 Marginal Impacts of Climate across7 Selected AEZs
6.3.4 Climate Projections and Their Impacts on Net Crop Incomes
6.4 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
CHAPTER 7 CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON FARMLAND VALUES
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Materials and Methods
7.2.1 Location of the Study
7.2.2 Sampling and Data
7.2.3 Ricardian Methodology
7.2.4 Empirical Model Specification
7.3 Results and Discussions
7.3.1 Climate Variables and Farmland Value
7.3.2 Estimates of Marginal Impacts
7.3.3 Climate Projections and Its Impacts on Farmland Values
7.4 Conclusions
CHAPTER 8 PERCEPTIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND ADAPTATION BEHAVIOR OF FARMERS
8.1 Introduction
8.2.Farmers' Perceptions of the Impact of Climate Change on Farm Productivity and Farmland Values
8.3 Farmers' Present and Future Adaptation Behavior
8.4 Conclusions
CHAPTER 9 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
9.1 Summary
9.2 Policy Implications,Limitations and Future Research
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
LIST OF PUBLICATIONS
本文编号：3254440
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