日本经济“双零现象”研究

发布时间：2018-01-12 06:12

本文关键词：日本经济“双零现象”研究　出处：《吉林大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：针对近些年西方国家相继出现的一个特殊的词语Japanization，翻译成汉语是“日本化”。这一词语指的是一些西方国家出现了很多日本曾经出现过的经济现象，正在某种程度上变成日本（Turning Japanese）。本文并没有具体分析究竟美国和西欧的一些国家如何“日本化”的，而是将出现的众多现象进行重点分析和研究，说明究竟是在哪些方面出现了“日本化”。文章将这些现象分成了两大类，第一类是日本从签订《广场协议》之后出现的一系列的客观经济状况，包括零物价增长率、劳动力人口的零增长以及银行等金融机构贷款额的零增长；另一类是针对经济持续衰退，日本政府以及中央银行出台的政策，包括零利率政策、量化宽松货币政策、国债的大量发行等。总结起来，“日本化现象”最根本的表现就是“双零”——零物价、零利率。而在这些众多的经济表现以及政策的影响下，日本出现了二战以后其他国家都从未出现过的状况，那就是陷入了“流动性陷阱”而不能自拔，以及货币政策无效等特殊的经济形势。不可否认的是，即使日本政府和中央银行从未停止过对经济进行干预，但普遍认为这些政策对经济的影响并不显著，因此文章也强调了从日本20多年的经济形势中我们能学到什么，对我国经济政策的制定有哪些知道意义。文章共分为六个章节。第一部分绪论，主要包含了研究的目的意义以及文章的创新与不足之处；第二部分说明了“日本化”这一词语的内涵，本文重点要分析研究的方向，以及近几年来众多学习针对这一问题已经获得的研究成果；第三部分是本文的重点，着重分析日本国内“双零现象”，分成了两大部分，一部分探析日本经济的客观特征，另一部分则研究日本政府和央行制定的政策；第四部分为这些现象出现的原因，也同样分成了两个部分，分别从宏观和微观两个角度进行分析，宏观层面包含经济结构，政策制定的失误等方面，，而微观部分则主要是由于企业在进行资产负债表的修复从而不愿进行借贷，因而使得央行注入经济系统中的流动性仅仅沉淀在了银行当中，没有进行实际上的流动。第五部分分析了这些现象对日本经济的影响，最核心的影响就是使得日本经济陷入了“流动性陷阱”而不能自拔，从而使得货币政策几乎无效，经济长时间的衰退没能恢复，而对于企业来讲，则使得经营目标从利润最大化转变成负债最小化；最后一部分则是对比中日经济发展的相似性，最终给出中国制定政策的建议。
[Abstract]:In view of the Western countries in recent years have emerged a special word Japanization. The term "Japanization", translated into Chinese, refers to the economic phenomena that have occurred in some western countries. It is becoming, to some extent, Japan turning Japan. This paper does not specifically analyze how the United States and some countries in Western Europe "Japanization", but will appear a number of phenomena to focus on analysis and research. The article divides these phenomena into two categories: the first is a series of objective economic conditions that Japan has appeared since the signing of the Plaza Agreement. It includes zero price growth rate, zero growth of labor force population and zero increase of loan amount of banks and other financial institutions. The other is aimed at the continuing recession, the policies of the Japanese government and the central bank, including the zero interest rate policy, the quantitative easing monetary policy, the massive issuance of treasury bonds, and so on. "Japanization" is the most fundamental expression of "double zero"-zero prices, zero interest rates. Under the influence of these numerous economic performances and policies, Japan has a situation that no other country has ever seen since the second World War, that is, it has been caught in a "liquidity trap" and can not extricate itself. It is undeniable that even though the Japanese government and the central bank have never stopped intervening in the economy, it is generally believed that the impact of these policies on the economy is not significant. Therefore, the article also emphasizes what we can learn from the economic situation of Japan for more than 20 years and what we know about the formulation of economic policy in our country. The article is divided into six chapters. The first part of the introduction, mainly including the purpose of the study, as well as the innovation and deficiencies of the article; The second part explains the connotation of the word "Japanization", this paper focuses on the analysis of the direction of research, as well as the many studies in recent years in response to this problem has been achieved; The third part is the focus of this paper, focusing on the analysis of the "double zero phenomenon" in Japan, which is divided into two parts: one is to analyze the objective characteristics of Japan's economy, the other is to study the policies formulated by the Japanese government and the central bank. The 4th part is also divided into two parts for the reasons of these phenomena, respectively, from the macro and micro perspectives, macro-level includes economic structure, policy making errors and so on. The microcosmic part is mainly because firms are not willing to borrow because of the repair of their balance sheets, so that the liquidity injected into the economic system by central banks is only deposited in the banks. 5th part of the analysis of these phenomena on the Japanese economy, the most important impact is to make the Japanese economy into a "liquidity trap" and unable to extricate themselves. As a result, the monetary policy is almost ineffective, the long recession of the economy has not been restored, and for the enterprises, the operating goal is changed from profit maximization to debt minimization; The last part is to compare the similarities of economic development between China and Japan, and finally give some suggestions for China to formulate policies.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F131.3

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