虚拟经济对经济发展效应统计研究

发布时间：2018-03-29 05:13

本文选题：虚拟经济　切入点：经济发展　出处：《湖南大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：论文以1994年至2012年我国虚拟经济对经济发展效应为研究对象，从定义虚拟经济和经济发展内涵角度出发，研究虚拟经济对经济发展效应理论基础。然后在此基础上，建立测度虚拟经济对经济发展效应统计研究的评价指标体系，一方面基于联立方程模型，研究我国虚拟经济对经济发展总体运行效应问题，另一方面利用时变参数生产函数模型，研究我国虚拟经济对经济发展结构效应问题。并得出相应的结果，文章主要有下述几个方面：首先，论文通过国内外有关文献研究成果的梳理，界定虚拟经济与经济发展的内涵，并在此基础上考察虚拟经济对经济发展的效应问题，并且对此进行统计研究。重点探讨虚拟经济对经济发展总体，虚拟经济对经济发展结构两方面的效应问题。其次，在探讨虚拟经济对经济发展总体效应时，从生态经济的角度出发，构建由环境污染、能源消耗条件下的经济发展系统，构建带有虚拟经济变量的联立方程模型，分两块进行分析。第一部分是虚拟经济总量对经济发展总体的效应分析，第二部分深入到虚拟经济内部结构对经济发展总体效应分析。实证结果表明：资金总量对经济发展的运行效率存在影响性，具体到资金运行的各个机构部门，不同时期由于经济政策、市场改变等原因，机构部门对经济发展效应不一。资金应从效应低的机构部门流向效应高的机构部门，这样才能够使资金得到最大化的利用。然后，对虚拟经济对经济发展结构效应统计研究，以生产函数的函数方法为基础，，构建时变参数模型，考察其对经济发展结构效应的研究。实证结果表明：虚拟经济运行对经济结构产生的效应大小关系到产业结构在资金运行过程中的适应性调整。资金的最终运作效果主要体现在产业生产效率中，虚拟经济总量的增减对产业结构的优化是有效的。资金从各机构部门流向产业部门的过程中，效应的大小反映了资金的利用情况，使得虚拟资金得到最大限度的利用，通过对资金流向不同产业之间的调整来改善资金浪费现象。通过对虚拟经济对经济发展效应的统计研究，可以看出，虚拟经济总量对经济发展总量的效应是递增的，逐渐发挥其基本功能，但虚拟经济结构部门对经济发展总量具有差异性；虚拟经济总量对经济发展结构产生的效应一定程度上有助于经济发展结构调整，而虚拟经济结构内资金在流向产业部门时更加注重的是资金的利用率，有利于实施相应的政策调整。
[Abstract]:This paper takes the effect of virtual economy on economic development in China from 1994 to 2012 as the research object, and studies the theoretical basis of the effect of virtual economy on economic development from the angle of defining the connotation of virtual economy and economic development. An evaluation index system is established to measure the statistical effects of virtual economy on economic development. On the one hand, based on the simultaneous equation model, this paper studies the overall operational effect of virtual economy on economic development in China. On the other hand, by using the production function model of time-varying parameters, this paper studies the structural effects of virtual economy on economic development in China. The corresponding results are obtained. The paper mainly includes the following aspects:. First of all, the thesis defines the connotation of virtual economy and economic development by combing the domestic and foreign literature, and on this basis examines the effect of virtual economy on economic development. This paper mainly discusses the effects of virtual economy on economic development and on the structure of economic development. Secondly, when discussing the overall effect of virtual economy on economic development, from the point of view of ecological economy, the economic development system under the condition of environmental pollution and energy consumption is constructed, and the simultaneous equation model with virtual economic variables is constructed. The first part is the analysis of the effect of the total amount of fictitious economy on the overall economic development. The second part deeply analyzes the overall effect of the internal structure of the virtual economy on the economic development. The empirical results show that the total amount of funds has an impact on the operational efficiency of economic development. Because of economic policy and market change in different periods, the effect of institutional sector on economic development is different, and the fund should flow from the low-effect institutional sector to the high-effective institutional sector, so as to maximize the utilization of funds. Then, on the basis of the function method of production function, a time-varying parameter model is constructed for the statistical study of the effect of virtual economy on economic development structure. The empirical results show that the effect of virtual economic operation on economic structure is related to the adaptive adjustment of industrial structure in the process of capital operation and the final operation of capital. The effect is mainly reflected in the industrial production efficiency. The increase or decrease of the total amount of fictitious economy is effective to the optimization of industrial structure. In the process of capital flowing from various institutions to industrial departments, the magnitude of the effect reflects the utilization of funds, which makes the fictitious funds to be used to the maximum extent. The waste of capital is improved by adjusting the flow of capital to different industries. Through the statistical research on the effect of virtual economy on economic development, we can see that the effect of the total amount of fictitious economy on the total amount of economic development is increasing and gradually exerting its basic function. But the fictitious economic structure department has the difference to the total quantity of economic development, and the effect of the total quantity of the fictitious economy on the economic development structure is helpful to the adjustment of the economic development structure to some extent. In the virtual economy structure, more attention is paid to the utilization rate of funds, which is helpful to implement the corresponding policy adjustment.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124;F224

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