我国民间投资下滑的因素分析及对策优化研究

发布时间：2018-04-13 21:45

本文选题：民间投资 + 产能过剩　；参考：《财政研究》2017年07期

【摘要】：2015年以来,我国的民间投资呈现快速回落态势,传统的政府管理服务不足、市场进入壁垒较高、融资难融资贵等原因难以对此进行合理解释。本文认为,国内外需求下滑,产能过剩问题凸显,资产泡沫尤其是房地产泡沫抬头,民间资本"脱实入虚"愈演愈烈,政策不确定性加大,企业综合负担较重,带来企业家信心不足,加之全球再工业化浪潮冲击,是导致2015年以来民间投资加快下降的重要原因。本文研究表明,要实现民间投资的回暖,我们需要在现有政策和方法基础上,保持宏观经济政策的稳定性,加强预期管理,抑制资产尤其是房地产泡沫,拓展外部需求,加强PPP市场建设,化解过剩产能,降低企业综合负担,并积极应对全球再工业化浪潮。
[Abstract]:Since 2015, the folk investment in our country has dropped down rapidly, the traditional government management service is insufficient, the market entry barrier is high, the financing is difficult to finance expensive and so on reason is difficult to carry on the reasonable explanation to this.This paper holds that the problem of overcapacity is prominent in the decline of domestic and foreign demand, the rise of asset bubbles, especially real estate bubbles, the intensification of private capital, the increase of policy uncertainty, and the heavy burden on enterprises.The lack of entrepreneurial confidence and the impact of the global wave of re-industrialization are important reasons for the accelerated decline in private investment since 2015.This paper shows that in order to achieve the revival of private investment, we need to maintain the stability of macroeconomic policies, strengthen the management of expectations, restrain assets, especially real estate bubbles, and expand external demand on the basis of existing policies and methods.Strengthen the construction of PPP market, resolve excess capacity, reduce the comprehensive burden of enterprises, and actively respond to the wave of global re-industrialization.
【作者单位】：南京财经大学国际经贸学院;
【基金】：江苏省社科基金基地项目“新常态背景下江苏经济增长的新动力源泉研究”(14JD016) 国家社科基金项目“供给侧结构性改革下我国生产性服务业战略转变及发展路径研究”(16BJL052)
【分类号】：F124

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