中国旅游业对外直接投资特征及其关联因素分析

发布时间：2018-07-02 11:09

本文选题：对外直接投资 + 灰色关联度　；参考：《商业研究》2017年07期

【摘要】：当前中国旅游业OFDI不断增长,认识和把握其时空特征及关联因素,对于国家进行相应的宏观管理和中国旅游企业制订具体投资战略具有参考价值。本文利用2004-2015年中国旅游业OFDI的流量、存量数据分析中国旅游业OFDI的特征及关联因素。时间序列分析表明中国旅游业OFDI流量和存量整体呈增长趋势,且二者的增长均呈现"乘幂"型特征;空间分布分析表明中国主要的对外投资国家(地区)大致跟随出境旅游国家(地区),"资金流"和"人流"之间存在较好的伴随状态;灰色关联度分析表明人均GDP、出境旅游人数和入境旅游人数分别是影响中国旅游业OFDI的前三大因素,其中,人均GDP是其基础,出境旅游人数是其载体,入境旅游是其重要保障。
[Abstract]:At present, OFDI of China's tourism industry is increasing constantly. It is of reference value to understand and grasp its space-time characteristics and related factors for the country to carry out corresponding macro management and Chinese tourism enterprises to formulate specific investment strategies. This paper analyzes the characteristics and related factors of Chinese tourism OFDI by using the data of OFDI flow and stock from 2004 to 2015. The analysis of time series shows that the OFDI flow and stock of China's tourism industry are on the whole increasing, and the growth of both of them is of "power" type. The spatial distribution analysis shows that China's main outward investment countries (regions) generally follow the outbound tourism countries (regions), and there is a good concomitant state between "capital flow" and "people flow". The grey correlation analysis shows that the per capita GDP, the number of outbound tourism and the number of inbound tourism are the first three factors affecting OFDI of China's tourism industry, among which, the per capita GDP is the basis, the number of outbound tourism is its carrier, and the inbound tourism is its important guarantee.
【作者单位】：咸阳师范学院经济与管理学院;陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;陕西国际商贸学院商学院;
【基金】：国家旅游局“万名旅游英才”研究型英才培养项目,项目编号:WMYC20151058 陕西省普通高等学校优势学科建设项目,项目编号:0602
【分类号】：F125;F592

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