供给侧结构性改革与总需求管理的关系探析

发布时间：2018-07-02 11:26

本文选题：供给侧结构性改革 + 总需求管理　；参考：《中国高校社会科学》2016年03期

【摘要】：供给侧结构性改革既能够治理产能过剩等难题,又能增加有效供给从而催生新的增长点,因此中国有必要推进供给侧结构性改革。由于供给侧结构性改革过程中淘汰落后产能等举措会加大经济下行压力,因此需要总需求管理相配合。但是供给侧改革不具备宏观调控手段所需的逆周期调节能力,也不满足宏观调控手段所要求的可测量性、可控性、对目标有着可预计影响这三条标准,故而不应该成为宏观调控的常规手段。未来中国仍然应该将总需求管理政策视为宏观调控的主要手段,并且通过加快货币政策从数量型向价格型转变和深化财税体制改革等举措提高总需求管理政策的有效性。
[Abstract]:The supply-side structural reform can not only deal with the problems of overcapacity, but also increase the effective supply, thus giving birth to new growth points. Therefore, it is necessary for China to promote the supply-side structural reform. Since measures such as eliminating backward production capacity in the process of supply-side structural reform will increase the downward pressure on the economy, aggregate demand management needs to be coordinated. However, the supply-side reform does not have the counter-cyclical adjustment capability required by macro-control means, nor does it meet the three criteria of measurability and controllability required by macro-control tools, and has a predictable impact on the target. Therefore, it should not become the conventional means of macro-control. In the future, China should still regard the aggregate demand management policy as the main means of macro-control, and improve the effectiveness of the aggregate demand management policy by speeding up the transformation of monetary policy from the quantitative to the price type and deepening the reform of the fiscal and taxation system.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院经济研究所;中国人民大学经济学院;中国经济改革与发展研究院;
【基金】：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目“利率市场化背景下中国货币政策框架的转型研究”(15XNI006)阶段性成果
【分类号】：F121

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