创新补偿性与内生增长可持续性理论研究

发布时间：2019-04-19 23:04

【摘要】：近年全球经济的发展趋势引发了对内生增长的平衡增长路径的稳定性和可持续性问题的思考。本文建立三部门一致增长模型,研究近代世界经济发展的阶段性规律。研究表明:内生增长经济均衡有潜在的不稳定性,存在多重均衡的可能;当资源约束限制总生产保持长期常规模回报水平时,只有当知识生产部门的增规模回报率充分大,足以抵消工业生产部门的规模报酬减少的影响,总体经济才能获得可持续发展。为实现正的内生增长,知识生产部门的增规模回报的强度与物质资本在知识生产中的弹性贡献率呈正相关关系。文章提出了不同的长期经济发展的三阶段解释,可以一致地解释近现代长期经济发展主要阶段的动态发展规律。
[Abstract]:The development trend of global economy in recent years has led to the consideration of the stability and sustainability of the balanced growth path of endogenous growth. This paper sets up a three-sector consistent growth model to study the law of the development of modern world economy. The research shows that the economic equilibrium of endogenous growth is potentially unstable and there is the possibility of multiple equilibrium. When resource constraints limit total production to a long-term level of return on a constant scale, only when the incremental return on scale in the knowledge production sector is sufficiently large to offset the impact of reduced returns on scale in the industrial production sector, The overall economy can achieve sustainable development. In order to achieve positive endogenous growth, the intensity of increasing scale return in knowledge production sector has a positive correlation with the elastic contribution rate of material capital in knowledge production. This paper puts forward three-stage explanation of different long-term economic development, which can explain the dynamic development law of the main stage of modern and modern long-term economic development.
【作者单位】：云南财经大学经济学院、高等研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“后危机时代全球金融经济周期理论新发展及应用问题研究”(16ZDA030) 国家自然科学基金(71673252、71403249) 浙江工业大学创新团队基金的资助
【分类号】：F113

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