中国对蒙古国直接投资风险研究

发布时间：2018-04-09 10:29

本文选题：中国　切入点：蒙古国　出处：《哈尔滨商业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：21世纪是一个全球经济一体化发展的时代,在现代化开放经济的背景下,仅仅依靠一个家自身的实力来发展本国经济是不可能实现的,与其他国家进行合作,走国际化的道路已经成为新世纪背景下一国发展本国经济的必然选择。从中蒙两国合作的历史来看,虽然中蒙两国的经贸合作具有良好的政治、经济、社会和地缘基础,但是两国之间的合作存在很多摩擦,影响两国经济合作的风险事件时有发生。如何识别这些风险因素及风险并加以规避和防范已成为推动中国对蒙古国直接投资的首要条件。鉴于此,本研究致力于识别中国对蒙古国直接投资中面临的风险因素,并提出规避和防范风险的对策建议。论文以直接投资和风险管理相关理论为基础,运用统计分析的基本分析工具对中国在蒙古国直接投资的风险进行了理论与实证研究。首先,论文针对中国在蒙古国直接投资的投资规模、投资行业以及投资特点进行分析,为中国对蒙古国直接投资的风险研究提供基本分析。其次,通过头脑风暴法将中国对蒙古国直接投资的风险进行归类,分别从美日韩等国家外部环境和蒙古国自身内部环境分析了中国对蒙古国进行直接投资存在的6大风险及相对应的16个风险因素。同时借助专家问卷法识别出中国对蒙古国直接投资的6大风险因素,即政府更迭,政策多变、投资法律环境不稳、基础设施薄弱、民间舆论、金融体系不完善和美日韩经济竞争,并对其进行风险等级评估。接着通过对中国铝业并购南戈壁的案例进行风险性分析,经过分析得出中国铝业并购南戈壁失败的主要原因是蒙古多变的政策、法律因素,以及蒙古国民众与政府对中铝的并购存在更多的戒备与警惕所致。最后,针对中国对蒙古国直接投资存在的风险因素,分别从重视发展与美日韩政府的高层互访和经济互动、加强与蒙古国的政策沟通和文化交流以及健全中国对外投资法律等方面提出中国对蒙古国直接投资的风险防范对策。
[Abstract]:The 21st century is an era of global economic integration and development. Under the background of modern and open economy, it is impossible to develop our own economy only by relying on the strength of one country, and to cooperate with other countries.Internationalization has become an inevitable choice for a country to develop its own economy under the background of the new century.In the history of Sino-Mongolian cooperation, although the economic and trade cooperation between China and Mongolia has a good political, economic, social and geographical basis, there are many frictions between the two countries, and the risk events affecting economic cooperation between the two countries occur from time to time.How to identify these risk factors and risk and avoid them has become the most important condition to promote China's direct investment in Mongolia.In view of this, this study is devoted to identify the risk factors faced by China's direct investment in Mongolia, and put forward countermeasures and suggestions to avoid and prevent the risks.Based on the theory of direct investment and risk management, this paper makes a theoretical and empirical study on the risk of China's direct investment in Mongolia by using the basic analytical tools of statistical analysis.Firstly, the paper analyzes the investment scale, investment industry and investment characteristics of China's direct investment in Mongolia, which provides a basic analysis for the risk study of China's direct investment in Mongolia.Secondly, the risk of Chinese direct investment in Mongolia is classified through brainstorming.From the external environment of the United States, Japan and South Korea and the internal environment of Mongolia itself, this paper analyzes the six major risks of China's direct investment in Mongolia and the corresponding 16 risk factors.At the same time, six risk factors of China's direct investment in Mongolia were identified by means of expert questionnaire, that is, the change of government, the changeable policy, the unstable legal environment of investment, the weak infrastructure and the public opinion.The financial system is imperfect and the United States, Japan and South Korea compete with each other.Then through the risk analysis of the case of China Aluminium M & A in South Gobi, it is concluded that the main reason for the failure of China Aluminum M & A in South Gobi is the changeable policy and legal factors of Mongolia.And Mongolia people and the government to Chinalco's merger and acquisition have more vigilance and vigilance.Finally, in view of the risk factors of China's direct investment in Mongolia, from the perspective of developing high-level exchange visits and economic interaction with the US, Japan and South Korea governments,To strengthen policy communication and cultural exchange with Mongolia, and to improve China's laws on foreign investment, the paper puts forward the countermeasures of risk prevention for China's direct investment in Mongolia.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125;F131.1

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