四川省城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响分析

发布时间：2018-03-02 12:53

本文选题：城乡居民收入差距　切入点：消费需求　出处：《西南财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,四川省经济得到了飞速的发展,总体经济水平有了显著的提高,但由于四川省固有的二元经济结构以及中国经济体制改革处于不断探索和发展中,凸显出了不少问题。其中一个比较明显的问题就是四川省经济快速发展的同时,城乡居民各自的收入都有了不同程度的提高,但是城乡居民收入差距也呈现出逐年扩大的趋势,相反四川省城乡居民整体的平均消费倾向却呈现出了逐渐下降的趋势。本文在研究城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求影响的相关文献基础之上,应用对比分析,考察自改革开放以来四川省城乡居民收入差距和居民整体平均消费水平的变化趋势及特征,以及对城乡居民各自消费特征进行比较分析,并利用协整检验分析从持久收入假说、绝对收入假说两个方面分析四川省城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响。具体通过以下三个方面进行分析研究：首先,对1978年至2011年四川省城乡居民收入差距的变动趋势进行分析；其次,从消费水平和消费结构两个方面,分析四川省城乡居民边际消费倾向各自特点以及城乡居民各自消费结构特征；最后,基于持久收入假说、绝对收入假说,从两个方面检验分析城乡居民收入差距对消费需求的抑制作用。本文研究结果显示：(1)自改革开放以来,与城镇居民人均可支配收入相比,四川省农村居民人均纯收入起点低,增长率偏低,是造成四川省城乡居民收入差距不断扩大,城乡居民整体平均消费倾向却逐渐降低的原因所在；(2)通过对城乡居民消费结构的对比分析,城镇居民消费模式已经处于逐渐向富裕型转变的状态,而农村居民收入的主要部分用到了食品和居住上,其消费模式还处于刚刚步入小康型生活层面；城乡居民边际消费倾向的对比分析,城镇居民边际消费倾向变动稳定,平均水平偏低,与之相比,农村居民边际消费倾向波动较大,平均水平偏高；(3)基于凯恩斯绝对收入假说,在其他变量保持不变的情况下,四川省城乡居民收入差距的扩大拉大了城乡居民的消费差距,从而不利于整体消费水平的提高；(4)受持久收入影响,在其他因素不变的情况下,城乡居民的持久收入差距对城乡居民消费差距起着正向效应,抑制了居民整体消费水平的提高。综合以上研究结果,表明缩小城乡居民收入差距,有利于缩小城乡居民的消费差距,从而提高居民整体的消费水平。希望通过本文的分析,客观的揭示四川省城乡居民收入差距和四川省城乡居民平均消费倾向的变化趋势和现状,以及城乡居民收入差距对消费需求的抑制作用。为四川省居民整体消费水平的提高,探索性的提出几点客观的可供参考性建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up to the outside world, Sichuan's economy has been developing rapidly and the overall economic level has been greatly improved. However, due to the inherent dual economic structure in Sichuan Province and the ongoing exploration and development of China's economic system reform, Many problems have been highlighted. One of the more obvious problems is that with the rapid economic development of Sichuan Province, the income of urban and rural residents has increased to varying degrees, but the income gap between urban and rural residents has also shown a trend of increasing year by year. On the contrary, the average consumption tendency of urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province has gradually decreased. Based on the study of the influence of income gap between urban and rural residents on the consumption demand of residents, this paper applies comparative analysis. This paper investigates the trend and characteristics of income gap between urban and rural residents and the average consumption level of residents in Sichuan Province since the reform and opening up, and makes a comparative analysis of the respective consumption characteristics of urban and rural residents, and uses cointegration test to analyze the hypothesis of lasting income. The absolute income hypothesis analyzes the impact of the income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province on the consumption demand of residents from two aspects. The change trend of income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province from 1978 to 2011 is analyzed. Secondly, from the two aspects of consumption level and consumption structure, This paper analyzes the characteristics of marginal consumption tendency of urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province and the characteristics of consumption structure of urban and rural residents. Finally, based on the hypothesis of lasting income, the hypothesis of absolute income is analyzed. This paper analyzes the restraining effect of income gap between urban and rural residents on consumption demand from two aspects. The results of this study show that since the reform and opening up, compared with the per capita disposable income of urban residents, Sichuan rural residents' per capita net income starting point is low, and the growth rate is low, which is the result of the widening income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province. Through the comparative analysis of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents, the consumption pattern of urban and rural residents has been in the state of gradually changing to the rich type. The main part of rural residents' income is food and housing, and their consumption pattern is just entering the level of Xiao Kang life. The comparative analysis of the marginal consumption tendency of urban and rural residents shows that the marginal consumption tendency of urban residents is stable. The average level is on the low side. Compared with this, the marginal consumption tendency of rural residents fluctuates more, and the average level is higher. (3) based on the Keynesian absolute income hypothesis, while other variables remain unchanged, The widening income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province widens the consumption gap between urban and rural residents, which is not conducive to the improvement of the overall consumption level. The persistent income gap between urban and rural residents has a positive effect on the consumption gap between urban and rural residents, which inhibits the improvement of the overall consumption level of residents. It helps to narrow the gap between urban and rural consumption, thus improving the overall consumption level of residents. Through the analysis of this paper, I hope to objectively reveal the change trend and current situation of income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province and the average consumption tendency of urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province. As well as the income gap between urban and rural residents on the suppression of consumer demand. For the improvement of the overall level of consumption in Sichuan Province, explore several objective suggestions for reference.
【学位授予单位】：西南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.7;F126.1;F224

【参考文献】