中东欧国家与欧盟经济一体化的增长效应研究

发布时间：2018-03-15 07:17

本文选题：中东欧国家　切入点：一体化程度　出处：《辽宁大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：二十世纪八九十年代之交，中东欧国家相继放弃了社会主义道路，走上了西方宪政民主和自由市场经济体制的发展道路。伴随着政治和经济体制转型的进程的是，中东欧国家将“回归欧洲”，即融入欧洲政治和经济一体化作为其变革的具体目标。经过一系列大刀阔斧式的巨大变革，在经济政治体制转型10多年后，2004年5月1日，波兰、匈牙利、捷克、斯洛伐克、斯洛文尼亚、爱沙尼亚、立陶宛、拉脱维亚8个中东欧国家，正式成为了欧盟新成员国；2007年1月，罗马尼亚和保加利亚也完成了入盟的艰难赛跑，最终成为欧盟的正式成员国。这时的欧盟已发展成为当今世界第一大经济联合体。中东欧国家入盟，是在欧盟新老成员国共同利益驱动下完成的。从中东欧国家的角度看，入盟给这些国家的政治经济乃至社会带来的变化和产生的影响是巨大的，并且这样的影响对每一个中东欧国家都不尽相同。本文要研究的问题就是如何量化的评价这种一体化对经济带来的增长效应。本文第一章首先根据与欧盟一体化程度的不同，，将中东欧国家分为三组，其次选取三组中具有代表的性的九个国家作为研究对象。本文第二章和第三章为实证分析部分。第二章对中东欧国家与欧盟经济一体化程度进行量化评价，设计编制了一体化程度的综合指数INT，范围涵盖贸易、金融及人口流动领域，共涉及6项指标，最后利用统计学中加权平均的方法将这6项指标合成为一项综合指数。第三章将本文得出的一体化综合指数作为解释变量引入计量模型，最终得出不同经济一体化程度对中东欧国家的经济影响。第四章在观察了经济一体化指数和一体化程度的经济增长效应之后，得出结论。
[Abstract]:In 20th century, at the turn of the 1980s and 1990s, the central and eastern European countries abandoned the socialist road one after another and embarked on the road to the development of constitutional democracy and free market economic systems in the West. The countries of Central and Eastern Europe have made "return to Europe", that is, integration into European political and economic integration, as a specific goal of their transformation. After a series of drastic and dramatic changes, after more than a decade of economic and political restructuring, Poland, in May 1st 2004, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia and eight central and eastern European countries officially became new members of the European Union. In January 2007, Romania and Bulgaria also completed the difficult race to join the European Union. Finally, it became a full member of the European Union, which has now become the largest economic union in the world. The accession of the Central and Eastern European countries to the Union is driven by the common interests of the new and old member states of the European Union. From the perspective of the Central and Eastern European countries, the political, economic and even social changes and impacts brought about by the accession to the Union are enormous. And this kind of influence is different for every central and eastern European country. The problem that this paper will study is how to evaluate the economic growth effect of this kind of integration quantitatively. In the first chapter, according to the degree of integration with the European Union, the Central and Eastern European countries are divided into three groups. Secondly, nine representative countries are selected as the research objects. The second and third chapters are the empirical analysis part. The second chapter is the quantitative evaluation of the degree of economic integration between the Central and Eastern European countries and the European Union. A comprehensive integration index, int, covering the areas of trade, finance and population flows, has been designed and developed, covering a total of six indicators, Finally, the six indexes are synthesized into a composite index by the weighted average method in statistics. In chapter 3, the integrated composite index is introduced into the econometric model as an explanatory variable. Chapter 4th, after observing the economic growth effect of economic integration index and integration degree, comes to a conclusion.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F114.46

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