云南省经济增长与城乡收入差距关系的实证分析

发布时间：2018-03-25 12:18

本文选题：城乡收入差距　切入点：经济增长　出处：《云南财经大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：“赢者通吃”作为人类社会的现象，似乎势不可挡，与其相伴的是收入差距的恶化。自改革开放开始，云南省的经济实力不断增强，城乡居民的收入水平均得到了很大程度的提到，然而城乡收入之间的差距也日益扩大。针对这一现状，本文对云南省经济增长和城乡收入差距的现状进行了统计性分析，然后对云南省城乡收入差距与经济增长之间的关系首先从从理论视角出发进行了分析，然后从实证视角出发分别采用了时间序列数据、面板数据结合具体的模型进行了具体分析，且利用空间误差模型对面板数据进行了进一步的分析，并对所有的回归结果进行对比分析，分析得出云南省城乡收入差距与经济增长之间的关系，结合呈现出这种关系的原因给出了相应的政策建议。本文首先通过理论视角对城乡收入差距与经济增长之间的关系进行了分析研究。通过分析得出城乡收入差距通过影响消费、投资和人力资本等对经济增长产生影响，而经济增长通过二元经济结构和资本市场来影响城乡收入差距，二者互相影响，且效应可正可负，二者之间的具体关系主要取决于经济发展水平和收入差距的实际情况。然后对云南省的城乡收入差距和经济增长的现状进行了分析。通过统计分析得出，云南省自改革开放以来总体上一直保持着较快的增长速度，其平均增速高于全国平均水平；与此同时，云南省各州市的国内生产总值基本一直在增长，但是各州市的国内生产总值存在较大差异，且增长速度也存在显著差距；云南省总体和各州市的城乡收入两者整体上均呈现为逐年增加，但是各州市之间存在较大差异；与此同时，云南省总体和各州市的城乡收入的绝对差一直在扩大，但是云南省总体城乡收入差距的扩大速度自2005年至2010年在降低。最后，通过实证分析视角出发运用了云南省总体的时间序列数据、分段时间序列数据、云南省各州市的面板数据通过时间序列模型、固定效应模型、随机效应模型和空间误差模型对城乡收入与经济增长二者的关系进行了具体分析，分析均得出云南省经济增长对其城乡收入差距的扩大具有显著的正向效应，且效应大小较为接近，相对而言未考虑空间相关性的面板数据的效应最小，而考虑了空间相关性的效应最大。针对本文的分析结果，本文提出应通过提高经济发展速度，从而增加可供分配的经济总量，且注重经济发展质量，，加快云南省城市化进程和区域协调发展，改革具有二元性的户籍制度和金融制度，完善收入分配中的再分配制度，促进政府宏观调控作用的发挥等措施来提高农民收入，缩小城乡收入差距。
[Abstract]:As a phenomenon of human society, "winner-take-all" seems irresistible, accompanied by a worsening income gap. Since the beginning of reform and opening up, Yunnan's economic strength has been increasing. The income level of urban and rural residents has been mentioned to a great extent, but the gap between urban and rural income is also increasing. In view of this situation, this paper makes a statistical analysis of the current situation of economic growth and urban-rural income gap in Yunnan Province. Then the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Yunnan Province is analyzed from the perspective of theory, and then time series data are used from the perspective of empirical analysis. The panel data is analyzed in combination with the specific model, and the panel data is further analyzed by using the spatial error model, and all the regression results are compared and analyzed. The relationship between the income gap between urban and rural areas and economic growth in Yunnan Province is analyzed, and the corresponding policy suggestions are given in combination with the reasons for this relationship. In this paper, the relationship between urban-rural income gap and economic growth is analyzed from the perspective of theory. It is concluded that the urban-rural income gap affects economic growth through influencing consumption, investment and human capital. The economic growth affects the urban-rural income gap through the dual economic structure and the capital market, and the effects can be positive and negative. The specific relationship between the two mainly depends on the level of economic development and the actual situation of income gap. Then, it analyzes the current situation of income gap and economic growth in urban and rural areas in Yunnan Province. Yunnan Province has generally maintained a relatively fast growth rate since the reform and opening up, and its average growth rate is higher than the national average. At the same time, the gross domestic product (GDP) of various cities in Yunnan Province has basically been growing. However, there are great differences in the gross domestic product (GDP) and the growth rate of each city, and the income between urban and rural areas in Yunnan Province and in each city is increasing year by year, but there are great differences among the cities. At the same time, the absolute income gap between urban and rural areas in Yunnan Province has been widening, but the rate of expansion of the overall urban-rural income gap in Yunnan Province has been decreasing from 2005 to 2010. Finally, From the perspective of empirical analysis, the paper uses the time series data of Yunnan province as a whole, the segmented time series data, the panel data of each city of Yunnan Province through the time series model and the fixed effect model. The stochastic effect model and spatial error model are used to analyze the relationship between urban and rural income and economic growth. It is concluded that the economic growth of Yunnan Province has a significant positive effect on the widening of urban-rural income gap. The effect of panel data without spatial correlation is the least, but the effect of spatial correlation is the largest. In view of the analysis results of this paper, this paper puts forward that the urbanization process and regional coordinated development of Yunnan Province should be accelerated by increasing the speed of economic development so as to increase the total amount of economy available for distribution, and pay attention to the quality of economic development. Reform the household registration system and financial system with duality, perfect the redistribution system in income distribution, promote the government to play the role of macro-control to improve the income of farmers, reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

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