现代物流对湖南省经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 21:32

本文选题：现代物流　切入点：湖南省　出处：《湖南师范大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：现代物流作为国民经济发展的动脉和基础产业,在区域经济发展中发挥着“润滑剂”和“推进剂”的功能。发达的现代物流可以促进区域经济增长,降低经济运行成本,推动区域经济增长方式转变；现代物流所具有的广泛产业关联性使现代物流成为越来越多省份的主导产业和支柱产业。位于祖国中部的湖南省有着优越的地理条件,衔接南北,贯穿东西,己跃成为中部交通枢纽,湖南省通过湘江和洞庭湖的河流和海洋,连接长江产业带与“泛珠三角”经济带。所以,湖南省发展现代物流地理位置优势很明显。与此同时,湖南省现代物流的发展也存在诸多问题,因此,研究湖南省现代物流具有十分重要的理论意义和实践意义。本文以湖南省为研究对象,在梳理和综述国内外相关研究的基础上,对物流相关概念和经济增长相关理论做简要介绍,并介绍湖南省现代物流、经济增长现状以及现代物流对经济增长的影响进行定性分析,之后从定量角度,对湖南省现代物流与经济增长进行实证分析,根据湖南省1985-2010年的相关数据,建立Logistic回归模型,进而进行计量经济学分析,并在数据分析、实证研究的基础上,提出湖南省现代物流发展的若干建议。本文通过实证分析得出以下主要结论：从1985至2007年间湖南省经济对现代物流的边际值逐年增大,湖南现代物流对经济增长的贡献作用显著且呈递增趋势,2007年出现拐点,之后边际值逐年呈缓慢下降。而经济对现代物流的弹性系数均大于1(除1985年),表明现代物流对湖南省经济具有拉动作用。2010年湖南省现代物流对经济的边际作用为4.23,即湖南省货物周转量每增长1亿吨公里,就拉动经济增长额为4.23亿元；同时2007年湖南省现代物流对经济增长的弹性系数为1.15,即货物周转量每增长1%,伴随经济增长1.15%。这两个数字无论是绝对量还是相对量,现代物流对湖南省经济增长的拉动作用都是非常明显的。
[Abstract]:Modern logistics, as the artery and basic industry of national economic development, plays the functions of "lubricant" and "propellant" in the development of regional economy. Promoting the transformation of regional economic growth mode, the extensive industrial relevance of modern logistics makes modern logistics become the leading industry and pillar industry of more and more provinces. Hunan Province, located in the middle of the motherland, has superior geographical conditions, connecting the north and the south, Through the east and west, Hunan has become the central transportation hub. Hunan Province connects the Yangtze River Industrial Belt with the "Pan Pearl River Delta" economic zone through the rivers and seas of the Xiangjiang River and Dongting Lake. At the same time, there are many problems in the development of modern logistics in Hunan Province. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study modern logistics in Hunan Province. This paper takes Hunan Province as the research object, on the basis of combing and summarizing the related research at home and abroad, briefly introduces the related concepts of logistics and related theories of economic growth, and introduces the modern logistics of Hunan Province. The present situation of economic growth and the impact of modern logistics on economic growth are qualitatively analyzed. Then, from the quantitative point of view, the empirical analysis of modern logistics and economic growth in Hunan Province is carried out. According to the relevant data of Hunan Province from 1985 to 2010, the Logistic regression model is established. On the basis of data analysis and empirical research, some suggestions on the development of modern logistics in Hunan Province are put forward. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: from 1985 to 2007, the marginal value of Hunan economy to modern logistics increases year by year, the contribution of Hunan modern logistics to economic growth is significant and increasing trend, and the inflection point appears in 2007. The economic elasticity coefficient to modern logistics is all greater than 1 (except 1985, which indicates that modern logistics has pulling effect on Hunan economy. In 2010, the marginal effect of modern logistics on economy of Hunan province is:. 4.23 that is, for every 100 million ton km increase in the turnover of goods in Hunan Province, At the same time, the elasticity coefficient of modern logistics to economic growth in Hunan Province in 2007 was 1.15, that is, for every increase in the turnover of goods, it was accompanied by economic growth of 1. 15 yuan. These two figures are either absolute or relative. The effect of modern logistics on economic growth in Hunan Province is very obvious.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F259.27

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