危机还是转机:经济周期中的国民健康

发布时间：2018-06-07 07:02

本文选题：经济周期 + 死亡率　；参考：《中国软科学》2015年12期

【摘要】：经济周期所引致的社会健康福利变化是经济学持续关注的焦点。本文系统回顾和阐述了经济周期、环境污染与国民健康关系的内在机制,利用1990-2010年89个国家的跨国面板数据库,反复通过多种方法检验了三者之间的关系,发现:当失业率上升时,各类健康指标会出现不同程度的改善,死亡顺周期可能是中短期非长期现象;环境污染成为经济周期影响国民健康的重要传导渠道,经济衰退时期空气污染改善所带来的健康贡献大致占到了20%左右;经济周期对健康的影响在不同年龄、国家和性别中存在着明显的异质性;适度闲暇会带来死亡率的下降,但是过度失业并不利于健康。将经济增长速度控制在适度范围内有利于改善居民的健康福利,凸显了经济发展的健康代价以及经济适度放缓的健康收益,对当前中国经济增长结构转型和适应经济新常态具有重要的启示意义。
[Abstract]:The change of social health and welfare caused by economic cycle is the focus of economics. In this paper, the internal mechanism of the relationship among economic cycle, environmental pollution and national health is systematically reviewed and expounded. The relationship among them is repeatedly examined by various methods using the transnational panel database of 89 countries from 1990 to 2010. It is found that when the unemployment rate rises, various health indicators will be improved to varying degrees, the pro-cycle death may be a short- and medium-term phenomenon, and environmental pollution will become an important transmission channel that affects the health of the people in the economic cycle. Improvements in air pollution during the recession account for roughly 20% of the health contribution; the effects of the business cycle on health are significantly heterogeneous across countries and genders at different ages; moderate leisure leads to a decline in mortality. But excessive unemployment is not good for health. Keeping the economic growth rate within a moderate range is conducive to improving the health welfare of the population, highlighting the health costs of economic development and the health benefits of a moderate economic slowdown. It is of great significance for the structural transformation of China's economic growth and adaptation to the new normal state of the economy.
【作者单位】：中南财经政法大学财政税务学院;武汉大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“建构基于生态文明建设的公共财政体制研究”(项目编号:15ZDB158);国家社科基金后期资助项目“环境健康经济学理论与政策研究”(项目编号:15FJY014)
【分类号】：F124

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