我国对外贸易结构和产业结构的关系研究
发布时间：2018-09-07 07:38
【摘要】：长期以来，关于对外贸易结构与产业结构的研究一直是理论界的热点问题。这主要是因为对外贸易结构和产业结构的优化升级对于一国或地区经济的持续增长具有正向促进作用，同时相关研究能够为政府部门在拟定产业政策和贸易政策时提供更多的思路。但是现有的研究文献或者研究对外贸易结构与经济增长的关系，或者研究对外贸易结构与产业结构的单向影响关系，或者从总量水平研究对外贸易和产业增加值的关系，或者针对二者关系的研究更多局限在省域层面等。本文以我国为研究主体，以结构为研究视角，将对外贸易结构与产业结构二者统一起来进行研究，这是本文的创新点。 本文主要研究内容分为以下三大部分:第一部分是第2章文献综述。具体包括对外贸易结构理论、产业结构理论以及二者关系的研究综述，这为后面实证分析提供了理论基础。第二部分是本文的主体内容，包括第3章和第4章。首先对我国对外贸易结构和产业结构的演进历程进行分析，并总结它们各自的变化特征和趋势；其次基于1992—2011年时期的数据，主要采用格兰杰因果检验方法，对我国对外贸易结构变化与产业结构变化之间的关系进行实证分析。第三部分为第5章结论和政策建议。对第4章的实证结论进行总结，得出对外贸易结构对产业结构的影响作用较弱，而产业结构对对外贸易结构的影响作用较强这一结论。在此基础上，，提出相应的对策和建议。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the research on the structure of foreign trade and industrial structure has been a hot topic in the theoretical circle. This is mainly because the optimization and upgrading of the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure have a positive effect on the sustained economic growth of a country or region. At the same time, the relevant research can provide more ideas for government departments to formulate industrial policy and trade policy. However, the existing research literature either studies the relationship between foreign trade structure and economic growth, or studies the one-way influence of foreign trade structure and industrial structure, or studies the relationship between foreign trade and industrial added value from the total volume level. Or the study of the relationship between the two is more limited in the provincial level and so on. This article takes our country as the research subject, takes the structure as the research angle, unifies the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure to carry on the research, this is the innovation point of this article. The main content of this paper is divided into the following three parts: the first part is the second chapter of literature review. It includes the theory of foreign trade structure, the theory of industrial structure and the relationship between them, which provides the theoretical basis for the empirical analysis. The second part is the main content of this paper, including chapter 3 and chapter 4. Firstly, the evolution of China's foreign trade structure and industrial structure is analyzed, and their changing characteristics and trends are summarized. Secondly, based on the data from 1992 to 2011, Granger causality test is mainly used. The relationship between the change of foreign trade structure and the change of industrial structure is analyzed empirically. The third part is chapter 5 conclusions and policy recommendations. This paper summarizes the empirical conclusions in Chapter 4 and draws the conclusion that the influence of foreign trade structure on industrial structure is weak and the influence of industrial structure on foreign trade structure is stronger. On this basis, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：广东商学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752;F121.3
本文编号：2227628
[Abstract]:For a long time, the research on the structure of foreign trade and industrial structure has been a hot topic in the theoretical circle. This is mainly because the optimization and upgrading of the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure have a positive effect on the sustained economic growth of a country or region. At the same time, the relevant research can provide more ideas for government departments to formulate industrial policy and trade policy. However, the existing research literature either studies the relationship between foreign trade structure and economic growth, or studies the one-way influence of foreign trade structure and industrial structure, or studies the relationship between foreign trade and industrial added value from the total volume level. Or the study of the relationship between the two is more limited in the provincial level and so on. This article takes our country as the research subject, takes the structure as the research angle, unifies the foreign trade structure and the industrial structure to carry on the research, this is the innovation point of this article. The main content of this paper is divided into the following three parts: the first part is the second chapter of literature review. It includes the theory of foreign trade structure, the theory of industrial structure and the relationship between them, which provides the theoretical basis for the empirical analysis. The second part is the main content of this paper, including chapter 3 and chapter 4. Firstly, the evolution of China's foreign trade structure and industrial structure is analyzed, and their changing characteristics and trends are summarized. Secondly, based on the data from 1992 to 2011, Granger causality test is mainly used. The relationship between the change of foreign trade structure and the change of industrial structure is analyzed empirically. The third part is chapter 5 conclusions and policy recommendations. This paper summarizes the empirical conclusions in Chapter 4 and draws the conclusion that the influence of foreign trade structure on industrial structure is weak and the influence of industrial structure on foreign trade structure is stronger. On this basis, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：广东商学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752;F121.3
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