北京农村能源消费现状及影响因素分析——基于北京市1866个农村住户的调研
发布时间：2019-07-10 13:34
【摘要】：[目的]文章通过对北京市农村住户的能源消费调查和数据分析,研究北京农村能源消费的总体现状、不同地形、不同区之间的消费差异以及主要能源消费的影响因素。[方法]运用描述性分析和多元回归,基于北京市13个区214个村庄1 866住户的调查数据,重点分析北京农村能源消费情况以及煤炭、电和薪柴3种主要能源消费量的影响因素。[结果]从能源普及率来看,北京农村能源以电、煤炭和液化气为主;从消费量比重来看,以煤炭(60.4%)、薪柴(17.9%)、电(12.9%)为主,太阳能和沼气清洁能源比重较低,煤炭几乎全部用于家庭取暖;平原区和近郊区的电、煤炭、天然气消费量都明显高于其他地区,薪柴低于其他地区,太阳能和液化气消费量的地区差别不大。地形特征和家庭常住人口对各种能源消费量影响都很大,家庭收入主要影响电(正向)和薪柴消费量(反向),对煤炭消费量影响不明显,峰谷电价对电消费量影响较大,采暖面积对煤炭和电有影响,对薪柴消费没有影响;是否节能改造和对雾霾认识对能源消费量影响不确定。[结论]采取科学分类指导及措施,改变农村冬季采暖方式,改造常规能源,加大对新能源、可再生能源的开发与利用,加大农村经济发展和能源改造政策支持,以促进北京农村能源利用的优化升级。
文内图片：
图片说明：样本特征
[Abstract]:[objective] through the investigation and data analysis of energy consumption of rural households in Beijing, this paper studies the overall situation of rural energy consumption in Beijing, different topography, consumption differences among different regions and the influencing factors of main energy consumption. [methods] descriptive analysis and multiple regression were used to analyze the rural energy consumption and the influencing factors of coal, electricity and fuelwood consumption in Beijing based on the survey data of 1 866 households in 214 villages in 13 districts of Beijing. [results] from the point of view of energy popularization rate, the rural energy in Beijing is mainly electricity, coal and liquefied gas, and the proportion of consumption is mainly coal (60.4%), fuelwood (17.9%) and electricity (12.9%). The proportion of solar energy and biogas clean energy is low, and almost all of coal is used for household heating. The consumption of electricity, coal and natural gas in plain area and suburbs is significantly higher than that in other areas, and the consumption of firewood is lower than that in other areas, and there is no difference between solar energy and liquefied gas consumption. Topographic characteristics and household resident population have great influence on all kinds of energy consumption, household income mainly affects electricity (positive) and fuelwood consumption (reverse), but has no obvious influence on coal consumption, peak and valley electricity price has great influence on electricity consumption, heating area has influence on coal and electricity, and has no effect on fuelwood consumption; whether energy saving transformation and haze cognition have uncertain influence on energy consumption. [conclusion] Scientific classification guidance and measures should be taken to change the rural winter heating mode, transform the conventional energy, increase the development and utilization of new and renewable energy, and increase the policy support for rural economic development and energy transformation, so as to promote the optimization and upgrading of rural energy utilization in Beijing.
【作者单位】： 北京农学院;北京节能环保中心;北京住房公积金管理中心;
【基金】：北京市节能环保中心委托项目“北京农村能源消费调查研究”
【分类号】：F323.214
文内图片：
图片说明：样本特征
[Abstract]:[objective] through the investigation and data analysis of energy consumption of rural households in Beijing, this paper studies the overall situation of rural energy consumption in Beijing, different topography, consumption differences among different regions and the influencing factors of main energy consumption. [methods] descriptive analysis and multiple regression were used to analyze the rural energy consumption and the influencing factors of coal, electricity and fuelwood consumption in Beijing based on the survey data of 1 866 households in 214 villages in 13 districts of Beijing. [results] from the point of view of energy popularization rate, the rural energy in Beijing is mainly electricity, coal and liquefied gas, and the proportion of consumption is mainly coal (60.4%), fuelwood (17.9%) and electricity (12.9%). The proportion of solar energy and biogas clean energy is low, and almost all of coal is used for household heating. The consumption of electricity, coal and natural gas in plain area and suburbs is significantly higher than that in other areas, and the consumption of firewood is lower than that in other areas, and there is no difference between solar energy and liquefied gas consumption. Topographic characteristics and household resident population have great influence on all kinds of energy consumption, household income mainly affects electricity (positive) and fuelwood consumption (reverse), but has no obvious influence on coal consumption, peak and valley electricity price has great influence on electricity consumption, heating area has influence on coal and electricity, and has no effect on fuelwood consumption; whether energy saving transformation and haze cognition have uncertain influence on energy consumption. [conclusion] Scientific classification guidance and measures should be taken to change the rural winter heating mode, transform the conventional energy, increase the development and utilization of new and renewable energy, and increase the policy support for rural economic development and energy transformation, so as to promote the optimization and upgrading of rural energy utilization in Beijing.
【作者单位】： 北京农学院;北京节能环保中心;北京住房公积金管理中心;
【基金】：北京市节能环保中心委托项目“北京农村能源消费调查研究”
【分类号】：F323.214
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