中国超大城市新生代农民工婚姻状况及其影响因素分析——基于2015年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据

发布时间：2018-02-06 04:03

本文关键词： 北上广深新生代农民工城市非参数统计 Heckman二阶段模型流动人口婚姻　出处：《北京联合大学学报(人文社会科学版)》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在我国城镇化发展进程中,农民工婚姻状况对维持社会稳定与和谐发展具有重要的意义。根据2015年国家卫生和计划生育委员会所做的《全国流动人口动态监测调查》数据,以北京、上海、广州、深圳新生代农民工为样本,通过非参数统计方法和Heckman二阶段模型进行实证分析。研究发现:(1)四个城市生活和工作压力造成了农民工初婚年龄相对其他城市较大;(2)受教育程度、收入、支出等因素与初婚年龄均呈正相关性,同时女性农民工初婚年龄略早于男性;(3)四个城市对于农民工初婚年龄影响因素略微存在差异,反映出地理位置差异对农民工自身生活存在一定影响。提高农民工婚姻质量,需要有关部门推出相应政策加强引导,同时也需要社会的关心与努力。
[Abstract]:In the process of urbanization in China. The marital status of migrant workers is of great significance to maintain social stability and harmonious development. According to the National Health and Family Planning Commission data of the National Survey of floating population Dynamics in 2015, Beijing. Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, the new generation of migrant workers as a sample. Based on the non-parametric statistical method and Heckman two-stage model, it is found that the life and work pressure of four cities make the first marriage age of migrant workers larger than that of other cities. (2) the educational level, income, expenditure and other factors were positively correlated with the age of first marriage, and the age of first marriage of female migrant workers was slightly earlier than that of men; 3) the four cities have a slight difference in the factors affecting the first marriage age of migrant workers, which reflects that the geographical differences have a certain impact on the migrant workers' own life, and improve the quality of marriage of migrant workers. Relevant departments need to launch relevant policies to strengthen guidance, but also need social care and efforts.
【作者单位】：北京工业大学经济与管理学院;首都社会建设与社会管理协同创新中心;
【基金】：北京社科基金重点项目“首都农民工社会管理机制创新研究”(项目编号:S0014999201601) 首都社会建设与管理协同创新中心资助
【分类号】：D412.6;D669.1

【相似文献】