阿富汗局势发展中的塔利班因素
发布时间：2018-07-14 12:25
【摘要】：塔利班是影响阿富汗重建工作顺利进展的主要因素。奥马尔去世后,塔利班内部纷争加剧,"伊斯兰国"阿富汗分支"呼罗珊省"势力增强,加尼政府军事清剿力度加大与外部势力打击和制裁措施升级,都在一定程度上削弱了塔利班的实力。为此,塔利班采取了选择强硬领导人、频繁发动袭击、坚持游击战等相应的反制措施。就目前情况来看,塔利班正在整合内部力量,出于争夺阿富汗局势主导权的考虑,塔利班发动袭击的频率和强度可能会增加,而加尼政府的军事打击和外部势力的介入很难从根本上消灭塔利班势力。阿富汗政府、外部势力与塔利班三种力量的相互作用,将决定阿富汗局势的未来走向。
[Abstract]:The Taliban are the main factors that affect the smooth progress of reconstruction in Afghanistan. After Omar's death, internal disputes among the Taliban intensified, the "Khorasan province" branch of the "Islamic State" in Afghanistan became more powerful, and the Ghani government intensified its military campaign against the Taliban and escalated its sanctions measures with external forces. Both have weakened the Taliban to some extent. To this end, the Taliban took tough leaders, frequent attacks, guerrilla warfare and other counter-measures. As things stand, the Taliban are integrating their internal forces and the frequency and intensity of Taliban attacks is likely to increase in order to gain control over the situation in Afghanistan. Mr Ghani's military strike and the involvement of outside forces will hardly wipe out the Taliban. The interaction of the Afghan government, external forces and the Taliban will determine the future of the situation in Afghanistan.
【作者单位】： 西安外国语大学国际关系学院;
【分类号】：D815.4
[Abstract]:The Taliban are the main factors that affect the smooth progress of reconstruction in Afghanistan. After Omar's death, internal disputes among the Taliban intensified, the "Khorasan province" branch of the "Islamic State" in Afghanistan became more powerful, and the Ghani government intensified its military campaign against the Taliban and escalated its sanctions measures with external forces. Both have weakened the Taliban to some extent. To this end, the Taliban took tough leaders, frequent attacks, guerrilla warfare and other counter-measures. As things stand, the Taliban are integrating their internal forces and the frequency and intensity of Taliban attacks is likely to increase in order to gain control over the situation in Afghanistan. Mr Ghani's military strike and the involvement of outside forces will hardly wipe out the Taliban. The interaction of the Afghan government, external forces and the Taliban will determine the future of the situation in Afghanistan.
【作者单位】： 西安外国语大学国际关系学院;
【分类号】：D815.4
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