中东战略格局失衡与中国的中东战略

发布时间：2018-03-24 14:54

本文选题：中东战略格局　切入点：结构性失衡　出处：《外交评论(外交学院学报)》2013年06期

【摘要】：中东地区战略格局的基本特征是结构性失衡,这种结构性失衡体现在阿拉伯世界内部、中东地区国家之间、世界大国在中东地区的影响力、教派矛盾的话语体系和思维方式以及阿拉伯国家转型进程等五个方面。中东地区结构性失衡只能通过战略性平衡重构来解决。从中长期来看,可能出现的中东地区部分国家版图重组、阿拉伯国家伊斯兰主义力量保守化、以核技术和核产业发展谋求独立自主、页岩气和页岩油带来的世界性能源结构调整以及大国关系在中东地区的变化等因素,都会影响结构性失衡与战略性平衡重构这两种趋势之间的博弈。中国的国家利益在于顺势而为,推动中东地区战略性平衡重构,并且应该以之作为中国中东战略的指针。中国的中东战略应该坚持相互尊重、独立自主、和平发展、合作共赢的原则。对不同类型的中东国家采取有针对性的政策措施,在突出重点的同时,平衡发展与各类中东国家的关系。同时,努力建构中、美、俄在中东地区的大国合作、协调和制衡机制。
[Abstract]:The basic feature of the strategic pattern in the Middle East region is the structural imbalance, which is reflected in the influence of the great powers in the Middle East within the Arab world, among the countries in the Middle East region, and among the countries of the Middle East region. The discourse system and mode of thinking of sectarian contradictions, as well as the transformation process of Arab countries, are five aspects. The structural imbalance in the Middle East can only be resolved through the reconstruction of strategic balance. In the medium and long term, The possible reorganization of some countries in the Middle East region, the conservatism of the Islamist forces in the Arab countries, and the pursuit of independence and autonomy through the development of nuclear technology and the nuclear industry, The global energy restructuring brought about by shale gas and shale oil, and the changes in the relations between major countries in the Middle East, China's national interest lies in adapting to the trend and promoting strategic balance reconfiguration in the Middle East. China's Middle East strategy should be guided by the principles of mutual respect, independence, peaceful development, win-win cooperation, and targeted policy measures for different types of Middle East countries. At the same time, we should balance the development of relations with all kinds of countries in the Middle East. At the same time, we should strive to build a mechanism of cooperation, coordination and balance between the major powers of China, the United States and Russia in the Middle East region.
【作者单位】：北京大学阿拉伯伊斯兰文化研究所;
【分类号】：D822;D737

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