“十三五”期间中国特大城市人口调控机制研究
发布时间：2018-08-11 16:08
【摘要】：文章以北京、上海、广州、深圳4个特大城市为例,结合国内外公开数据和对北京市部分街道、乡镇的实地调研信息,探讨中国特大城市人口发展中存在的问题,以及"十三五"期间人口调控面临的挑战和应对策略。研究结果显示,当前中国特大城市人口发展面临的主要问题是总量大而非增长速度快,城区人口密度高而经济聚集优势不足,人口调控将加速人口老龄化,外来人口未改善城市人口聚集度等。"十三五"期间人口调控的主要困境和挑战是人口调控政策目标孤立,与经济增长目标相悖;外来人口仍集中在效率较低的行业,人口调控的市场准备不足;特大城市经济发展增速放缓,人口调控可能进一步弱化其经济增长;产业内部升级不足,与人口调控目标不同步;人口统计数据失灵、滞后,难以满足人口调控的过程管理要求。文章认为,特大城市要从人口目标与经济要素相协调适应、建立都市圈总体产业规划、将资源要素纳入人口调控框架、完善人口信息技术的角度优化人口调控机制。
[Abstract]:Taking the four mega-cities of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen as examples, combining the public data at home and abroad and the field investigation information on some streets and towns in Beijing, the paper discusses the problems existing in the population development of China's mega-cities. And the third five-year-plan period population control faced challenges and coping strategies. The results show that the main problems facing the population development of China's megacities at present are large population rather than rapid growth, high population density in urban areas and insufficient economic agglomeration advantages. Population control will accelerate the aging of the population. The alien population has not improved the urban population concentration, etc. " During the 13th Five-Year Plan period, the main difficulties and challenges of population regulation and control are the isolation of population control policy goal, which is contrary to the economic growth target, the foreign population is still concentrated in the inefficient industry, and the market preparation for population control is insufficient. As the economic growth rate of mega-cities slows down, population control may further weaken their economic growth; the internal upgrading of the industry is insufficient and is out of step with the target of population control; and the population statistics are out of order, lagging behind. It is difficult to meet the requirements of process management of population control. The paper holds that the megalopolis should establish the overall industrial planning of the metropolitan area from the point of view of the coordination of population objectives and economic elements, bring the resource elements into the framework of population regulation and control, and improve the population control mechanism from the perspective of population information technology.
【作者单位】： 首都经济贸易大学劳动经济学院;首都经济贸易大学;
【基金】：北京市社科基金重点项目“京津冀人才国际化协同发展机制与实现路径研究”(编号:16YJA006)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C924.2
本文编号：2177499
[Abstract]:Taking the four mega-cities of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen as examples, combining the public data at home and abroad and the field investigation information on some streets and towns in Beijing, the paper discusses the problems existing in the population development of China's mega-cities. And the third five-year-plan period population control faced challenges and coping strategies. The results show that the main problems facing the population development of China's megacities at present are large population rather than rapid growth, high population density in urban areas and insufficient economic agglomeration advantages. Population control will accelerate the aging of the population. The alien population has not improved the urban population concentration, etc. " During the 13th Five-Year Plan period, the main difficulties and challenges of population regulation and control are the isolation of population control policy goal, which is contrary to the economic growth target, the foreign population is still concentrated in the inefficient industry, and the market preparation for population control is insufficient. As the economic growth rate of mega-cities slows down, population control may further weaken their economic growth; the internal upgrading of the industry is insufficient and is out of step with the target of population control; and the population statistics are out of order, lagging behind. It is difficult to meet the requirements of process management of population control. The paper holds that the megalopolis should establish the overall industrial planning of the metropolitan area from the point of view of the coordination of population objectives and economic elements, bring the resource elements into the framework of population regulation and control, and improve the population control mechanism from the perspective of population information technology.
【作者单位】： 首都经济贸易大学劳动经济学院;首都经济贸易大学;
【基金】：北京市社科基金重点项目“京津冀人才国际化协同发展机制与实现路径研究”(编号:16YJA006)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：C924.2
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