基础教育与人口集聚——基于地级市面板数据的分析
发布时间：2019-06-02 18:30
【摘要】：随着社会经济的发展,人口流动与集聚已经成为中国经济发展的一个基本特征。然而,影响人口集聚的原因和机理仍需进一步探究。理解人口流动和集聚的内在机制有助于推动新型城镇化建设、疏解大都市区人口以及建设新城区。在流动人口大军中,教育迁移的比例不断提高,教育迁移成为人口集聚的一个重要原因。利用1989-2010年期间地级市面板数据,采用系统GMM方法,提出基础教育与人口集聚之间先后呈现倒U型和U型关系,表明基础教育规模显著影响了人口集聚,而教育迁移成为促进人口集聚的一个新动力,特别是在2005年以来,教育迁移加速了人口集聚的趋势。因而,在建设新型城镇化以及大都市疏解人口过程中,应充分重视基础教育的引导作用,促成人口集聚与疏导人口合理布局。
[Abstract]:With the development of social economy, population mobility and agglomeration have become a basic feature of China's economic development. However, the causes and mechanisms of population agglomeration still need to be further explored. Understanding the internal mechanism of population mobility and agglomeration is helpful to promote the construction of new urbanization, dredge the population of metropolitan areas and build new urban areas. In the floating population army, the proportion of educational migration is increasing, and educational migration has become an important reason for population agglomeration. Based on the data of prefecture-level city panel from 1989 to 2010, and using the method of system GMM, this paper puts forward that the relationship between basic education and population agglomeration is inverted U-shaped and U-shaped, which shows that the scale of basic education has significantly affected the population agglomeration. Education migration has become a new driving force to promote population agglomeration, especially since 2005, education migration has accelerated the trend of population agglomeration. Therefore, in the process of building a new type of urbanization and dredging the population of metropolis, we should pay full attention to the guiding role of basic education, so as to promote population agglomeration and guide the rational distribution of population.
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金应急管理项目(71641034) 中国社会科学院创新工程项目(RKSCX2017014)资助
【分类号】：C924.2;G639.2
本文编号：2491337
[Abstract]:With the development of social economy, population mobility and agglomeration have become a basic feature of China's economic development. However, the causes and mechanisms of population agglomeration still need to be further explored. Understanding the internal mechanism of population mobility and agglomeration is helpful to promote the construction of new urbanization, dredge the population of metropolitan areas and build new urban areas. In the floating population army, the proportion of educational migration is increasing, and educational migration has become an important reason for population agglomeration. Based on the data of prefecture-level city panel from 1989 to 2010, and using the method of system GMM, this paper puts forward that the relationship between basic education and population agglomeration is inverted U-shaped and U-shaped, which shows that the scale of basic education has significantly affected the population agglomeration. Education migration has become a new driving force to promote population agglomeration, especially since 2005, education migration has accelerated the trend of population agglomeration. Therefore, in the process of building a new type of urbanization and dredging the population of metropolis, we should pay full attention to the guiding role of basic education, so as to promote population agglomeration and guide the rational distribution of population.
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金应急管理项目(71641034) 中国社会科学院创新工程项目(RKSCX2017014)资助
【分类号】：C924.2;G639.2
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，本文编号：2491337
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