长三角独生子女规模估计及其养老支持研究

发布时间：2019-06-06 12:36

【摘要】：计划生育政策在我国施行已经30余年,作为我国的一项基本国策,它为缓解我国人口、资源与环境之间的矛盾做出了巨大贡献,我国计划生育政策最直接的效应就是产生规模庞大的独生子女群体,而今,第一代独生子女已经长大成人,正逐步迈入人生的另一个阶段：成家立业。本文关注的第一个焦点是如何对独生子女规模进行准确的估计,在回顾了学界对估计独生子女的沿用的若干方法的基础上,构建独生子女比重与总和生育率之间的关系模型,对长江三角洲地区独生子女规模进行了估计,得出结果,截止2005年,长江三角洲独生子女规模约为2274万人。本文关注的另外一个焦点是独生子女家庭的养老支持问题,通过问卷调查和个案访谈搜集所需到资料后,围绕独生子女父母生活照料、经济支持、精神慰藉三个方面,深入分析独生子女家庭在养老支持上的现实处境及其态度。得出结论：独生子女将面临沉重的养老负担,因此,在独生子女父母尚未大规模进入老龄期时,国家、社会、个人应该未雨绸缪,为独生子女家庭养老支持打下基础.
[Abstract]:The family planning policy has been implemented in China for more than 30 years. As a basic national policy of our country, it has made great contributions to alleviating the contradiction between population, resources and environment in our country. The most direct effect of family planning policy in our country is to produce a large group of only children. Now, the first generation of only children has grown up and is gradually entering another stage of life: starting a family and starting a business. The first focus of this paper is how to estimate the size of the only child accurately. On the basis of reviewing some methods used in the academic circles to estimate the only child, the relationship model between the proportion of the only child and the total fertility rate is constructed. The only child size in the Yangtze River Delta is estimated, and the results show that as of 2005, the only child size in the Yangtze River Delta is about 22.74 million. Another focus of this paper is the pension support of only-child families. After collecting the required data through questionnaires and case interviews, this paper focuses on the three aspects of life care, financial support and spiritual comfort of only-child parents. This paper deeply analyzes the realistic situation and attitude of one-child family in providing for the aged. It is concluded that the only child will face a heavy burden of providing for the aged. Therefore, when the only child parents have not entered the old age period on a large scale, the state, society and individuals should make good plans in advance to lay the foundation for the only child family pension support.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：C924.21

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