山东省人口死亡水平估计和死亡水平差异及死亡原因分析
发布时间：2019-06-06 16:03
【摘要】： 本文根据山东省第四次和第五次人口普查的人口数据,在修正和调整数据的基础上重新估计了山东省20世纪90年代的死亡水平,并结合卫生统计部门得到的数据对山东省同时期的死亡原因进行分析,利用第五次人口普查的数据,选取分年龄死亡概率、婴儿死亡率、平均预期寿命等几个指标,运用SPSS统计分析软件比较了山东省各地市的死亡水平的差异情况,丰富了山东省20世纪90年代的死亡水平的研究,为以后的比较研究等提供基础资料。 为准确的估计山东省20世纪90年代的死亡水平,运用留存分析方法根据两次普查提供的死亡人口数据和人口数据估计第五次人口普查的漏报程度,在此基础上修正和调整数据,利用死亡力模型的假设重新计算山东省20世纪90年代的人口死亡水平,男性的预期寿命为69.5岁,女性为73.39岁,分别比修正前的计算结果降低了2.2岁和2.85岁。 根据卫生部门的统计资料,从山东省全省在20世纪90的死因情况、死因的性别差异程度、各年龄组的死因构成差异三个方面分析死因情况。全省的死因构成比例和死因顺位相对于70和80年代,除了传染病的控制效果明显外,其他列入监测范围的疾病差异不大,认为山东省的疾病死亡模式已经进入发展中国家的模式。死因的性别差异程度较大的疾病仍主要表现在心脑血管疾病、肿瘤和意外死亡这三种死因上。相对于80年代的死因情况,90年代的分年龄死亡原因体现了一定的特点：意外死亡在90年代呈现出了低龄化的特征,且交通事故是造成意外死亡的主要原因；心脑血管疾病在老年人口中逐渐成为主要的死因。 本文根据2000年山东省第五次人口普查的资料以及山东省的行政区域划分,通过编制山东省17个地级市的生命表,对地区间的死亡水平差异进行了比较分析,选用分年龄死亡概率、婴儿死亡率和平均预期寿命作为分析死亡水平的地区差异的指标。山东省的婴儿死亡率呈现了“西高东地”的特点,而平均预期寿命没有明显的地理分布特征。
[Abstract]:Based on the population data of the fourth and fifth censuses of Shandong Province, this paper reestimates the death level of Shandong Province in the 1990s on the basis of revising and adjusting the data. Combined with the data obtained by the health statistics department, the causes of death in Shandong Province in the same period were analyzed. Using the data of the fifth census, several indexes, such as age death probability, infant mortality rate, average life expectancy and so on, were selected. SPSS statistical analysis software is used to compare the difference of death level among cities and cities in Shandong Province, which enriches the study of death level in Shandong Province in the 1990s and provides basic data for future comparative study. In order to accurately estimate the death level of Shandong Province in the 1990s, the retained analysis method is used to estimate the underreporting degree of the fifth census according to the death population data and population data provided by the two censuses, on the basis of which the data are revised and adjusted. The death level of Shandong Province in the 1990s was recalculated by using the hypothesis of death power model. The life expectancy was 69.5 years for men and 73.39 years for women, which were 2.2 years and 2.85 years lower than those before revision, respectively. According to the statistical data of health departments, the causes of death in Shandong Province in the 20th century were analyzed from three aspects: the cause of death in the 20th century, the degree of gender difference in the cause of death, and the difference in the composition of causes of death in each age group. Compared with the 1970s and 1980s, the proportion of causes of death and the order of causes of death in the province were significantly different from those in the 1970s and 1980s, except for the control effect of infectious diseases, but there was no significant difference in other diseases included in the scope of surveillance. It is considered that the disease death model in Shandong Province has entered the mode of developing countries. The major causes of death are cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, tumors and accidental deaths. Compared with the cause of death in the 1980s, the causes of age-specific death in the 1990s reflect certain characteristics: accidental death showed the characteristics of younger age in the 1990s, and traffic accidents are the main cause of accidental death; Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases have gradually become the main cause of death in the elderly population. Based on the data of the fifth census of Shandong Province in 2000 and the division of administrative regions in Shandong Province, this paper compares and analyzes the difference of death level among regions by compiling the life tables of 17 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province. The probability of death by age, infant mortality and average life expectancy were selected as indicators to analyze the regional differences in death levels. The infant mortality rate in Shandong Province shows the characteristics of "West and East", but the average life expectancy has no obvious geographical distribution characteristics.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：C924.24
本文编号：2494430
[Abstract]:Based on the population data of the fourth and fifth censuses of Shandong Province, this paper reestimates the death level of Shandong Province in the 1990s on the basis of revising and adjusting the data. Combined with the data obtained by the health statistics department, the causes of death in Shandong Province in the same period were analyzed. Using the data of the fifth census, several indexes, such as age death probability, infant mortality rate, average life expectancy and so on, were selected. SPSS statistical analysis software is used to compare the difference of death level among cities and cities in Shandong Province, which enriches the study of death level in Shandong Province in the 1990s and provides basic data for future comparative study. In order to accurately estimate the death level of Shandong Province in the 1990s, the retained analysis method is used to estimate the underreporting degree of the fifth census according to the death population data and population data provided by the two censuses, on the basis of which the data are revised and adjusted. The death level of Shandong Province in the 1990s was recalculated by using the hypothesis of death power model. The life expectancy was 69.5 years for men and 73.39 years for women, which were 2.2 years and 2.85 years lower than those before revision, respectively. According to the statistical data of health departments, the causes of death in Shandong Province in the 20th century were analyzed from three aspects: the cause of death in the 20th century, the degree of gender difference in the cause of death, and the difference in the composition of causes of death in each age group. Compared with the 1970s and 1980s, the proportion of causes of death and the order of causes of death in the province were significantly different from those in the 1970s and 1980s, except for the control effect of infectious diseases, but there was no significant difference in other diseases included in the scope of surveillance. It is considered that the disease death model in Shandong Province has entered the mode of developing countries. The major causes of death are cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, tumors and accidental deaths. Compared with the cause of death in the 1980s, the causes of age-specific death in the 1990s reflect certain characteristics: accidental death showed the characteristics of younger age in the 1990s, and traffic accidents are the main cause of accidental death; Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases have gradually become the main cause of death in the elderly population. Based on the data of the fifth census of Shandong Province in 2000 and the division of administrative regions in Shandong Province, this paper compares and analyzes the difference of death level among regions by compiling the life tables of 17 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province. The probability of death by age, infant mortality and average life expectancy were selected as indicators to analyze the regional differences in death levels. The infant mortality rate in Shandong Province shows the characteristics of "West and East", but the average life expectancy has no obvious geographical distribution characteristics.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：C924.24
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