赣南原中央苏区农村贫困测度及其致贫因素分析

发布时间：2018-07-07 12:57

本文选题：赣南原中央苏区 + 贫困　；参考：《江西农业大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：我国现阶段的一个重要发展目标就是消除贫困,这也是人类社会的共同追求。中国作为世界上最大的农业国和人口最多的国家,始终在坚持不懈的致力于消除贫困问题,所取得的成绩得到了全世界的赞赏。我国的农业大省江西省境内目前还广泛分布着很多贫困人口,国家投入了很多力量用于对该省的扶贫攻坚工作。《中国农村扶贫开发纲要(2011-2020)》颁布以后,进一步提升了扶贫标准,把人均收入低于2300元的人群纳入扶贫范围,按照该标准江西省原中央苏区的贫困人口数量将进一步扩大。因此,解决赣南原中央苏区农村贫困是中国社会经济发展中一个突出严峻的问题。本文在针对赣南贫困发生率进行描述性分析,在对赣南贫困状况进行测度时用到了层次分析法,并对影响因子进行了选择,在此基础上构建了面板数据模型对个体和时刻上的变动情况进行分析。本文的主要工作内容具体如下:第一、数据的探索性分析。对江西省2006年-2014年贫困发生率数据、赣南13个县历年贫困发生率数据进行简要探索性分析,对赣南贫困状况分布进行图表分析。研究结果表明,赣南原中央苏区农村人口占比较大,生活质量较低,经济结构制约了经济发展,生产要素匮乏导致贫困发生率较高。第二、通过层次分析法测度赣南贫困整体状况。对赣南原中央苏区进行综合分析,结合生活质量、基础保障、经济条件选取合适影响因素,通过层次分析法计算结果显示,与江西省平均水平相比,赣南原中央苏区农村贫困程度为0.725。在各县比较中,可以将赣南13县划分为三种程度的贫困地区:(1)特别贫困县区,主要是指农村贫困度高于0.725的县区,包括信丰、于都、兴国、黎川四县,此四县农村受经济水平和生活质量、基础保障的影响,处于特别贫困状态;(2)中等贫困县区,在赣南13县中,农村贫困度与13农村贫困度相当的县区有上犹、崇义、安远、宁都、会昌5县,这些县区的农村贫困度在0.725上下,代表了赣南原中央苏区的整体贫困水平;(3)相对贫困县区有四个县,分别是寻乌、石城、广昌、瑞金,此4县经济水平、生活质量与基础保障尽管与江西省平均水平尚有一段差距,但在赣南原中央苏区中属于相对较好的县区。第三、根据层次分析法的结果,首先确定赣南原中央苏区致贫因素,根据2006-2014年统计的赣南贫困发生率优化选择自变量,据此对自变量进行确定。其次开展了实证分析,对2006-2014年期间13个县的贫困发生率数据进行了收集,在此基础上对面板数据模型进行了构建。实证结果表明:农业贷款与贫困度具有负相关关系,表示在投入足够的农业贷款前提下,可以提高农村地区的经济发展水平,相对提高机械化水平,进而促进贫困度的降低。同时,农村从业人数、有效灌溉面积和贫困度的关系为负相关。另外,农村公路里程数与农村贫困度呈现正相关的关系。根据上述结论,也为后文提出针对性的完善对策和建议提供了依据和支持。强调应该完善政策支持,进一步强化政策扶持力度,有效引导和转移农村剩余劳动力,加大村民教育力度,提高提高人口素质,完善苏区农村基础设施,完善苏区农村社会保障,形成城乡统筹保障体系以及加大苏区农村金融机构支持力度,引导资金向农村流动等对策和措施。通过本文的研究,不仅全面的了解到了苏区农村贫困的程度以及影响因素,同时也为相关决策者制定合理的苏区农村脱贫政策和措施提供了借鉴和参考。
[Abstract]:An important development goal at the present stage of our country is to eliminate poverty, which is also the common pursuit of the human society. China, as the largest agricultural and most populous country in the world, has always been working unremittingly to eliminate poverty. Its achievements have been appreciated by the world. China's big agricultural province, Jiangxi Province, has been recognized. Many poverty-stricken people were widely distributed in front of the country, and the state invested a lot of power to work hard on the poverty alleviation of the province. After the promulgation of the outline of China's rural poverty alleviation and development (2011-2020), the standard of poverty alleviation was further promoted, and the people with per capita income of less than 2300 yuan were included in the poverty alleviation, and the poor people of the original Central Soviet Area of Jiangxi province were in accordance with the standard. Therefore, the solution of rural poverty in the original Central Soviet Area in southern Jiangxi is a serious problem in the development of China's social and economic development. In this paper, a descriptive analysis of the incidence of poverty in southern Jiangxi is described, and the analytic hierarchy process is used to measure the poverty in southern Jiangxi, and the influence factors are selected and the base is selected. The main contents of this paper are as follows: first, the exploratory analysis of the data, the data of the incidence of poverty in Jiangxi in 2006, the data of the incidence of poverty in the 13 counties of Southern Jiangxi in 13 years, and the distribution of poverty in southern Jiangxi Province, and the distribution of poverty in southern Jiangxi The results show that the rural population of the former central Jiangxi Province is relatively large, the quality of life is low, the economic structure restricts the economic development, the lack of production factors leads to the high incidence of poverty. Second, the overall situation of poverty in southern Jiangxi is measured by the analytic hierarchy process. In comparison with the average level of Jiangxi Province, the degree of poverty in the rural areas of the southern Jiangxi Province is 0.725. in the comparison of the counties, and the 13 counties in southern Jiangxi can be divided into three poverty-stricken areas: (1) the poverty-stricken county area, mainly refers to the rural poverty. The county areas of higher than 0.725, including Xinfeng, Yudu, Xingguo and Lichuan four counties, are in special poverty state in the four counties, which are affected by the economic level, the quality of life and the basic guarantee. (2) in the 13 counties of South Jiangxi, the rural poverty and the 13 rural poverty are in the county of Shangu, Chong Yi, Anyuan, Ningdu, and Huichang 5 counties. The degree of rural poverty in the area is 0.725, representing the overall poverty level of the former Central Soviet Area in South Jiangxi; (3) there are four counties in the relatively poor counties, namely, Xunwu, stone city, Guangchang and Ruijin, the economic level of the 4 counties, the quality of life and the basic guarantee, although there is a gap between the average water level of Jiangxi Province, but in the original Central Soviet Area of South Jiangxi is relative. The better county area. Third, according to the results of the analytic hierarchy process, we first determine the factors causing poverty in the original central Jiangsu Province, and select the independent variables according to the rate of poverty in southern Jiangxi in 2006-2014 years. Then the independent variables are determined. Secondly, the empirical analysis is carried out, and the data of the incidence of poverty in 13 counties in 2006-2014 years have been collected. On the basis of this, the panel data model is constructed. The empirical results show that the agricultural loan has a negative correlation with the degree of poverty, which indicates that under the premise of sufficient agricultural loans, it can improve the economic development level in rural areas, improve the level of mechanization relatively, and then promote the reduction of poverty. At the same time, the number of employees in rural areas can be reduced. The relationship between effective irrigation area and poverty degree is negative correlation. In addition, rural road mileage has a positive correlation with rural poverty. According to the above conclusions, it also provides the basis and support for the further improvement countermeasures and suggestions. It emphasizes that the policy support should be improved, the policy support should be strengthened, the effective guidance and transfer should be strengthened. To move the surplus rural labor force, increase the education of the villagers, improve the quality of the population, improve the rural infrastructure in the Soviet Area, improve the rural social security of the Soviet Area, form the urban and rural social security system, and increase the support for the rural financial institutions in the Soviet Area, and guide the flow of funds to the rural areas. The degree and influencing factors of rural poverty in the Soviet area were understood, and the policy and measures for the decision makers to formulate reasonable rural poverty reduction policies and measures in the rural areas were also provided for reference and reference.
【学位授予单位】：江西农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F323.8

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