“中国威胁论”评析

发布时间：2018-05-01 15:18

本文选题：中国 + 和平崛起　；参考：《延边大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：在苏联解体、冷战结束的大背景下,中国的崛起引发世界的关注,“中国威胁论”时起时伏。从20世纪90年代至今,“中国威胁论”已出现多次热潮。“中国威胁论”内容和形式也是丰富多彩,花样不断翻新。其关注的主要问题和领域可以概括为四种：中国的军事威胁、中国的经济威胁、中国的网络威胁和中国的人口与环境威胁。本文主要分“经济与人口威胁”、“军事威胁”和“文明的冲突与挑战”三大板块归纳、汇总了国外学者关于“中国威胁论”的主要观点和见解。中国的经济发展将影响南亚和东南亚国家吸引外资,“大中华经济圈”的形成和扩张会争夺国际市场和国际资金,中国劳动力成本低廉导致了中国的贸易顺差,从而加大了西方国家的失业率,中国加速现代化的过程将会严重威胁人类的生存环境。中国军费高速增长会带动整个东亚地区的军备竞赛,中国会走军事扩张之路,威胁亚太地区的安全与稳定,挑战美国的霸权地位,颠覆国际秩序。中国文明将对以美国为首的西方文明形成冲突与挑战。国外学界针对“中国威胁”提出“遏制中国发展”、“对抗、挑战中国”和“抓住机遇,与中国合作共赢”等对策。本文认为,“中国威胁论”存在着很多对中国的揣测、误解以至谬见,对此,本文对照中国的现实,予以辩驳,并强调要以“中国和平崛起”的观点理性解读“中国威胁论”。近年来,“中国威胁论”渐渐向“中国责任论”转变,对此,我们要从善意和非善意两方面清醒认识,坚持走和平发展的道路,并以实际行动推进“和谐世界”的构建。
[Abstract]:In the context of the disintegration of the Soviet Union and the end of the cold war, the rise of China has aroused the attention of the world, and the "China Threat Theory" has come to time. From 1990s to the present, the "China Threat Theory" has appeared many times. "China Threat Theory" is also rich in content and form, and its patterns are constantly refurbished. The main issues and fields of concern are possible. It is summed up in four categories: China's military threat, China's economic threat, China's network threat and China's population and environmental threats. This article mainly divides the three major sections of "the threat of economy and population", "military threat" and "the conflict and challenge of civilization", and summarizes the main views and views of foreign scholars on the "China Threat Theory". China's economic development will affect South and Southeast Asian countries to attract foreign capital. The formation and expansion of the "Greater China Economic Circle" will contend for international markets and international funds. The low cost of China's labor force leads to China's trade surplus, thus increasing the unemployment rate in the western countries, and the process of accelerating modernization will be a serious threat to the people. The rapid growth of China's military expenditure will lead to the arms race in the whole East Asian region. China will take the road of military expansion, threaten the security and stability of the Asia Pacific region, challenge the hegemonic status of the United States and subvert the international order. Chinese civilization will form conflict and challenge to the Western language led by the United States. This article argues that there are many speculations, misunderstandings and fallacies of China's threat theory in China. This article refute the reality of China, and emphasizes the view of "China's peaceful rise". In recent years, the "China Threat Theory" has gradually changed to "China's responsibility theory". In this regard, we should be aware of the two aspects of good faith and non good faith, adhere to the road of peaceful development, and promote the construction of the "harmonious world" by practical action.

【学位授予单位】：延边大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：D820

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