中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易增长的因素分析

发布时间：2018-04-11 04:23

本文选题：“一带一路” + 沿线国家贸易　；参考：《河北经贸大学学报》2017年05期

【摘要】："一带一路"倡议目标深远广阔,投入巨大,要实时关注其实施的效果,进而展开理论分析,及时调整战略的实施。对古代丝绸之路历史回顾发现,丝绸之路虽因政治外交原因而开,但因商业利益而兴盛。丝绸之路上与经济利益无关的政治外交活动终难长久。2007—2015年,中国与"一带一路"沿线国家的进出口份额呈上升趋势,但过去的3年份额稳定维持,"一带一路"倡议对中国与沿线国家贸易的促进作用尚需解释和观察。基于对沿线62国2015年横截面数据的分析,沿线国家的经济体量是决定与中国进出口总额的首要因素。中国"一带一路"倡议实施的重点在于提高"政策沟通度",大力参与沿线国家基础设施建设,然而就促进中国与沿线国家的贸易来说,这些政策的作用尚不显著。因此,就促进中国与沿线国家的贸易来说,政府与市场要恰当分工。
[Abstract]:Belt and Road's initiative has far-reaching goals and huge investment, so it is necessary to pay attention to the effect of its implementation in real time, and then carry out theoretical analysis and adjust the implementation of the strategy in time.Reviewing the history of the ancient Silk Road, it was found that the Silk Road flourished because of commercial interests although it was opened for political and diplomatic reasons.Political and diplomatic activities that have nothing to do with economic interests on the Silk Road will not last long. Between 2007 and 2015, the share of imports and exports between China and countries along "Belt and Road" has been on the rise.However, the share of the past three years has remained stable, and the role of the Belt and Road initiative in promoting trade between China and the countries along the route needs to be explained and observed.Based on the analysis of the cross-sectional data of 62 countries along the route in 2015, the economic volume of the countries along the route is the most important factor in determining the total import and export volume of China.The focus of China's "Belt and Road" initiative is to improve "policy communication" and participate in the infrastructure construction of the countries along the route. However, the role of these policies in promoting trade between China and the countries along the route has not been significant.Therefore, to promote China's trade with countries along the route, the government and the market should be properly divided.
【作者单位】：河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心;中国政法大学研究生院商学院;
【分类号】：F752

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