中国对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资:现状、动机与政策建议——基于Heckman两阶段的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-22 09:05

  本文选题：“一带一路” + OFDI　； 参考：《国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报)》2017年05期

【摘要】：本文基于"一带一路"沿线59个国家2006~2015年的面板数据,使用Heckman两阶段模型分析了影响中国OFDI进入和规模选择的不同因素,并对不同发展水平的经济体进行了比较。研究表明:(1)从整体来看,中国在该地区的对外直接投资具有显著的市场和资源寻求动机。(2)中国对高收入国家的直接投资主要以市场寻求为动机,东道国的市场规模和对中国的进口依赖是影响OFDI进入和规模选择的主要因素。(3)不同于高收入国家,中国对中低收入国家的直接投资则具有明显的资源寻求动机,较高的资源密集度会提高中国OFDI的规模。最后,在以上研究的基础上,针对中国在该地区对外直接投资的扩展和风险防范提出了相关建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 59 countries along the "Belt and Road" from 2006 to 2015, this paper analyzes the different factors affecting the entry and scale of China's OFDI by using the Heckman two-stage model, and compares the economies with different levels of development. The study shows that China's OFDI in the region as a whole has significant market and resource seeking motives. 2) China's direct investment in high-income countries is mainly motivated by market-seeking. The market size of the host country and its dependence on China's imports are the main factors that affect the entry and scale of OFDI, which are different from those of the high-income countries. China's direct investment in low- and middle-income countries has obvious motivation for seeking resources. Higher resource intensity will increase the size of China's OFDI. Finally, on the basis of the above research, some suggestions are put forward for the expansion and risk prevention of China's foreign direct investment in the region.
【作者单位】： 辽宁大学国际关系学院;
【基金】：[基金项目]辽宁省教育厅“俄罗斯与中亚的经济关系及对我国丝绸之路经济带的战略影响研究(ZJ2014010)
【分类号】：F125
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本文编号：1921421