“一带一路”背景下中蒙俄经济走廊贸易潜力研究

发布时间：2018-07-05 18:36

本文选题：中蒙俄经济走廊 + 引力模型　；参考：《工业技术经济》2017年06期

【摘要】：在我国大力倡导"一带一路",推动全球对外经贸合作深入发展的今天,建立"中蒙俄经济走廊",充分发挥中俄蒙三国的经济互补性,挖掘三国之间的贸易潜力和合作空间,对三国的经济发展均有重要的战略意义。基于此研究背景,本文利用2002~2015年中俄对外贸易面板数据,通过引力模型分析了中蒙俄三国的贸易潜力。结果表明,近几年中俄两国之间的实际贸易额呈下降趋势,贸易增长潜力较大;中蒙两国之间的贸易虽呈现"贸易过度"的状态,但贸易额波动较大,且贸易总量较小。最后,从加强基础设施建设,增强政治、经济和文化交流以及完善边贸管理体制等3个方面对建立"中蒙俄经济走廊"提出了政策建议。
[Abstract]:At a time when China has vigorously advocated "Belt and Road" and promoted the in-depth development of global economic and trade cooperation with foreign countries, it has established the "China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor" to give full play to the economic complementarity between China, Russia and Mongolia, and to tap the trade potential and space for cooperation between the three countries. It is of great strategic significance to the economic development of the three countries. Based on this background, this paper analyzes the trade potential of China, Mongolia and Russia by using the panel data of Sino-Russian foreign trade from 2002 to 2015. The results show that the actual trade volume between China and Russia is decreasing in recent years, and the trade growth potential is great, while the trade between China and Mongolia is in the state of "excessive trade", but the trade volume fluctuates greatly and the total volume of trade is small. Finally, some policy suggestions on the establishment of China-Mongolia and Russia-China Economic Corridor are put forward from three aspects: strengthening infrastructure construction, strengthening political, economic and cultural exchanges and perfecting the management system of border trade.
【作者单位】：南昌大学管理学院;江西行政学院;清华大学;
【分类号】：F125

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