贸易开放度对阿尔及利亚就业率的影响

发布时间：2022-01-14 05:58

　　阿尔及利亚的经济一直遭受着青年人高失业率和就业问题的困扰,本文的目的在于研究开放贸易与就业率之间关系的本质。换句话说,贸易开放是否会影响就业率?本文使用线性回归模型分析阿尔及利亚1970-2018年间的案例,并利用OLS估计了模型中的未知参数。在这个模型中包括一些具体变量的量化信息,可能会对就业产生影响。模型量化了解释变量（贸易开放度,外国直接投资,通货膨胀率,实际汇率,贸易条件,人均GDP和人口增长）与因变量（就业率）。模型中包含了许多解释变量,以使研究可以将贸易开放度与其他宏观经济因素区分开来。所使用的数据主要来自世界银行（世界发展指标）和贸发会议数据库以及其他来源。论文使用Stata 13.0版进行分析,生成了相关矩阵和线性回归模型。论文研究发现,贸易开放度与就业率之间存在正相关关系,这表明进出口占GDP的比例越高,阿尔及利亚的就业率就越高。研究还发现FDI、人口增长的系数显著正相关而汇率和通货膨胀的系数显著负相关。负相关意味着存在反比关系,即如果通货膨胀增加,就业率就下降,汇率也存在相同的规律,即如果汇率增加,就业率也下降,反之亦然。阿尔及利亚的问题不仅是对外贸易和对外开放造成... 

【文章来源】：江西财经大学江西省

【文章页数】：97 页

【学位级别】：硕士

【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
ABSTRACT
摘要
CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the study
    1.2 Statement of the Problem
    1.3 Significance of the Study
    1.4 Contributions and Limitations
CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 The theories of international trade
        2.1.1 The classical theories
        2.1.2 Neo-classical theories
        2.1.3 Modern theories of international trade
    2.2.Theories of employment
    2.3 Impact of trade openness on employment
    2.4 Empirical studies
        2.4.1 Cross-country Evidence
        2.4.2 Country-specific Evidence
        2.4.3 Studies in the Algerian Context
CHAPTER THREE TRADE OPENNESS AND EMPLOYMENT IN ALGERIA
    3.1 Overview of Algerian Economy
    3.2 Process of trade openness in Algeria
    3.3.Trade openness by International and regional trade agreements
        3.3.1 The EU-Algeria Association Agreement
        3.3.2 WTO Membership Negotiations
        3.3.3 Greater Arab Free Trade Area(GAFTA)
        3.3.4 Algerian-Tunisian Preferential Trade Agreement
        3.3.5 China-Algeria cooperation
        3.3.6 Cooperation between France Italy and Algeria
        3.3.7 Cooperation between Turkey and Algeria Cooperation
        3.3.8 Saudi Arabia-United Arab Emirates- Algeria cooperation
    3.4.Algeria`s Foreign trade
    3.5 Evolution of Algerian Labor Market and employment policy
CHAPTER FOUR METHODOLOGY
    4.1 Research design
    4.2 Data Sources
    4.3 Model specification
    4.4.Description,Definition,Measurement of Variables in the Model
    4.5 Model Estimation Procedure
CHAPTER FIVE EMPIRICAL STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF TRADE OPENNESS ON THE EMPLOYMENT RATE OF ALGERIA
    5.1 Descriptive analysis
    5.2 Correlation and Multi-Collinearity Test
    5.3 Linear Regression Analysis Results
    5.4 Robustness Check
    5.5 Concluding remarks and interpretation
CHAPTER SIX CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Recommendation
REFERENCES



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