基于复合系统测度的竞技体育与群众体育发展水平协整分析

发布时间：2018-02-09 00:19

本文关键词： 复合系统竞技体育群众体育协整分析　出处：《沈阳体育学院学报》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：深化体育改革是促进全民健身和竞技体育全面发展的重要保障,对体育"发展问题"和"发展起来的问题"进行研究概述,剖析体育系统运行机制。基于复合系统测度,运用协整理论对2007—2014年间全国及各省(自治区、直辖市)区域竞技体育系统和群众体育系统中的时间序列数据进行协整分析。结果显示:全国及各省(自治区、直辖市)仅有北京市竞技体育产出水平与群众体育发展水平存在协整关系,根据经济发展水平的不同,划分西部、东北部、中部和东部四个地区,针对不同地区经济发展水平分析其竞技体育与群众体育发展不协整的原因。由此分析体育事业发展受阻的原因:怕乱求稳,症结难解;分配不均,顾此失彼;结构断裂,缺乏有效桥梁。建议:深化体育改革,进行体育部门"降级、合并、分拆",增强部门协调办事效益,提高体育资源利用率,搭建有效桥梁,促进体育事业全面、协调、可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Deepening the reform of sports is an important guarantee to promote the overall development of national fitness and competitive sports. This paper summarizes the research on sports "development problems" and "developing problems", analyzes the operating mechanism of sports system, and analyzes the operating mechanism of sports system based on the measurement of compound system. The time series data of regional competitive sports system and mass sports system in China and every province (autonomous region, municipality directly under the Central Government) from 2007 to 2014 were analyzed by cointegration theory. There is only a cointegration relationship between the output level of competitive sports in Beijing and the level of mass sports development. According to the different levels of economic development, four regions are divided into the western, northeast, central and eastern regions. According to the economic development level of different regions, this paper analyzes the reasons why the development of competitive sports and mass sports is not cointegrated. Therefore, the reasons why the development of sports cause is blocked are analyzed, such as fear of seeking stability in disorder, the crux of the problem being difficult to solve; uneven distribution and neglect of one and the other; and structural breakage. Lack of effective bridge. Suggestion: deepen sports reform, carry on sports department "demotion, merge, split", strengthen department coordinate work benefit, raise sports resource utilization ratio, build effective bridge, promote sports enterprise to be comprehensive and coordinated. Sustainable development
【作者单位】：吉林体育学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金资助项目(15BTY027)
【分类号】：G812.4

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