时空因素与我国旅游突发事件的关联影响——基于最优尺度分析

发布时间：2018-04-15 08:35

本文选题：旅游突发事件 + 时空因素　；参考：《经济管理》2014年03期

【摘要】：时空因素是影响我国旅游突发事件的重要因素。本文根据2006~2010年间我国发生的302起旅游突发事件案例,利用最优尺度方法对我国旅游突发事件的时空因素与各变量之间的关联关系及特征进行分析。最优尺度分析表明,时空因素与旅游突发事件的相关变量均呈现明显的锐角关系,时空因素变量与突发事件相关变量具有非线性典型相关性。在时间分布上,我国旅游突发事件在各时间变量上呈现明显的非平衡性和高发时间上的集中性。在空间分布上,我国旅游突发事件与宏观地域空间、要素空间、景区空间均呈紧密的锐角关系,具有较强的关联性,并在空间布局上呈现较为明显的空间差异性和单一关联性特征。本文认为,旅游地应建立基于时间尺度的风险预防管理机制,并建立基于空间针对性的风险管控体系。
[Abstract]:Space-time factor is an important factor that affects China's tourism emergencies.Based on 302 cases of tourism emergencies in China between 2006 and 2010, this paper uses the optimal scale method to analyze the relationship and characteristics between spatio-temporal factors and variables of tourism emergencies in China.The optimal scale analysis shows that there is a sharp angle relationship between spatio-temporal factors and the related variables of tourism emergencies, and the spatio-temporal variables have a typical nonlinear correlation with the related variables of unexpected events.In terms of time distribution, tourism emergencies in China show obvious disequilibrium and concentration in high incidence time in each time variable.In terms of spatial distribution, tourism emergencies in China are closely related to macro regional space, element space and scenic area space.And in the space layout presents the more obvious spatial difference and the single correlation characteristic.This paper holds that tourism destination should establish risk prevention and management mechanism based on time scale and establish risk management system based on spatial pertinence.
【作者单位】：华侨大学旅游学院;中国旅游研究院旅游安全研究基地;
【基金】：中央高校基本科研业务费·华侨大学哲学社会科学青年学者成长工程项目“旅游地常态安全风险的行为响应及其调节机制研究”(13SKGC-QT03)
【分类号】：F592

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