旅游承载力周期性演化机制研究

发布时间：2018-06-25 08:10

本文选题：旅游目的地 + 生命周期　；参考：《天津财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：旅游业作为世界上最大的产业,旅游活动给目的地带来了巨大的环境影响、经济影响、社会影响以及政治影响。这些旅游影响深刻的改变着旅游承载力可持续发展的状况。生命周期理论与旅游承载力理论为旅游业的可持续发展提供了评价工具、管理工具以及治理工具。因此,通过深化对旅游承载力的生命周期的认识,可以为旅游承载力的可持续发展提供价值判断的依据以及规划工具,辨明旅游承载力所处的时空环境,在旅游承载力出现衰退前提供预警服务并对其进行治理,改善并提升旅游承载力的演化路径,从而实现旅游承载力的可持续发展。同时,通过旅游承载力垂直演化机制(路径依赖机制)与水平演化机制(协同演化机制)的研究,可以打开旅游承载力演化的“黑箱”,弥补承载力的生命周期的研究缺陷。具体研究内容包括：首先,进行文献回顾,梳理旅游承载力、旅游生命周期、路径依赖与协同演化的研究现状；其次,通过对相关理论的探讨,为本研究从系统论、系统动力学以及演化经济学等角度提供理论基础；再次,从路径依赖理论与协同演化理论的角度,利用系统动力学的思想,研究旅游承载力周期性演化机制,由于旅游承载力存在着各种路径依赖,旅游承载力各个子系统存在着锁定效应,最终导致了旅游承载力垂直演化的机制产生与发展；并且由于旅游承载力各个子系统的相互影响与相互作用,使得旅游承载力各个子系统之间具有协同演化的关系,这种协同演化体现了旅游承载力的非线性成长机制,同时这种协同演化导致了旅游承载力各个子系统的生命周期之间的水平演化机制的产生与发展；最后,以旅游目的地天津五大道地区为例,综合运用问卷调查获得的一手资料与独秀数据库获得的二手资料,对旅游承载力的垂直演化机制中的影响因素进行因子分析以及对旅游承载力水平演化机制中的协同演化关系进行假设检验,并且提出改善天津五大道旅游承载力水平的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:As the largest industry in the world, tourism activities have brought great environmental, economic, social and political impacts to destinations. These tourism influences profoundly change the sustainable development of tourism carrying capacity. Life cycle theory and tourism carrying capacity theory provide evaluation tools, management tools and governance tools for the sustainable development of tourism. Therefore, by deepening the understanding of the life cycle of tourism carrying capacity, we can provide the basis of value judgment and planning tools for the sustainable development of tourism carrying capacity, and identify the spatio-temporal environment of tourism carrying capacity. In order to realize the sustainable development of tourism carrying capacity, we can provide early warning service and manage it before the decline of tourism carrying capacity, improve and enhance the evolution path of tourism carrying capacity. At the same time, through the research of vertical evolution mechanism (path dependence mechanism) and horizontal evolution mechanism (co-evolution mechanism) of tourism carrying capacity, the "black box" of tourism carrying capacity evolution can be opened, and the research defect of carrying capacity life cycle can be made up. The specific research contents include: first, literature review, combing the tourism carrying capacity, tourism life cycle, path dependence and collaborative evolution of the research status; secondly, through the discussion of relevant theories, this study from the system theory, System dynamics and evolutionary economics provide theoretical basis. Thirdly, from the perspective of path dependence theory and co-evolution theory, using the idea of system dynamics, the periodic evolution mechanism of tourism carrying capacity is studied. Because of the path dependence of tourism carrying capacity and the lock effect of each subsystem of tourism bearing capacity, the vertical evolution mechanism of tourism bearing capacity is produced and developed. And because of the interaction and interaction of each subsystem of tourism bearing capacity, there is a cooperative evolution relationship among the subsystems of tourism bearing capacity, which reflects the nonlinear growth mechanism of tourism bearing capacity. At the same time, this kind of co-evolution leads to the generation and development of the horizontal evolution mechanism between the life cycle of tourism carrying capacity subsystems. Finally, taking the tourism destination Tianjin Fifth Avenue area as an example, Comprehensive use of questionnaire survey obtained primary data and Duxiu database to obtain second-hand information, The factors influencing the vertical evolution mechanism of tourism carrying capacity are analyzed, and the co-evolution relationship in the horizontal evolution mechanism of tourism bearing capacity is tested. And put forward the countermeasures and suggestions to improve the level of tourism carrying capacity of the five major roads in Tianjin.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F592.7

【参考文献】