巨灾情景下应急资源动员保障能力研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 17:47

本文选题：应急资源 + 巨灾　；参考：《河南理工大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：我国是个巨灾频发的国度,建国以来发生过多次破坏性特别严重的巨灾如1976年唐山地震、2008年南方雪灾,不仅会带来严重的经济损失,大面积的区域受到影响,同时还会造成大量的人员需要紧急救助。为及时有效地应对巨灾,需要筹集大量的应急资源,而政府常态下储备的资源远远不能满足救灾需求,因此需要及时的、快速的从社会中动员数量庞大、种类繁多的资源用来救灾,然而如何有效调动这些资源参与救灾的积极性,主要取决于政府是否具备快速应急资源动员的能力。本文通过对应急资源动员保障能力的研究,得出以下结果:(1)通过对组织体系、社会潜在资源、机制保障、应急资源动员法律法规以及信息平台5方面,并进一步细化为14个细节方面的准备,为应急资源动员活动提供强有力的基础保障。(2)在剖析了应急资源动员点内涵以及动员点选择的影响因素的基础上,构建了应急资源动员点选择的指标体系,包括5个一级指标和13个二级指标,设计了基于博弈论组合赋权TOPSIS的应急资源动员点选择模型,并通过算例进行验证,为动员点选择奠定基础。(3)在动员点确定的基础上,构建出应急资源动员调度总成本最小的应急资源调度模型,然后通过WINQSB软件对算例进行计算,最终确定出调度总成本最小情况下的资源调度量,为应急资源调配提供支撑。(4)结合给出的应急资源动员终止概念,从应急资源供给者和需求者两个角度考虑,给出居民最低生活、企业最低水平运行、需求固定型资源、需求连续型资源、需求间歇型资源等五种不同情形的终止条件,并给出了应急资源动员终止流程,从而来提高政府对应急资源动员控制的准确性和有效性。
[Abstract]:China is a country with frequent catastrophes. Since the founding of the people's Republic of China, there have been many catastrophic disasters, such as the 1976 Tangshan earthquake and the 2008 Southern Snow disaster, which will not only bring serious economic losses, but also affect a large area. At the same time, it will result in a large number of people in need of emergency assistance. In order to respond to catastrophic disasters in a timely and effective manner, it is necessary to raise a large number of emergency resources. However, the resources that the government reserves under normal conditions are far from meeting the relief needs, so it is necessary to mobilize a large amount of resources from society in a timely and rapid manner. A wide variety of resources are used for disaster relief. However, how to mobilize these resources to participate in disaster relief effectively depends on whether the government has the ability to mobilize resources for rapid emergency response. Through the research on the ability of emergency resource mobilization and support, the following results are obtained: (1) through the organization system, social potential resources, mechanism protection, emergency resource mobilization laws and regulations and information platform 5 aspects, And further refinement for 14 details of the preparation for emergency resource mobilization activities to provide a strong foundation. (2) on the basis of analyzing the connotation of emergency resource mobilization point and the influence factors of mobilization point selection, The index system of emergency resource mobilization point selection is constructed, including 5 first-level indicators and 13 second-level indicators. A model of emergency resource mobilization point selection based on game theory combination weight TOPSIS is designed and verified by an example. (3) on the basis of the determination of mobilization points, the emergency resource scheduling model with minimum total cost of emergency resource mobilization and scheduling is constructed, and an example is calculated by WINQSB software. Finally, the amount of resource scheduling under the minimum total cost of scheduling is determined, which provides support for emergency resource allocation. (4) combined with the concept of emergency resource mobilization and termination, it is considered from the perspective of emergency resource providers and demanders. The termination conditions of five different situations, such as the lowest living standard of residents, the lowest level operation of the enterprise, the fixed resource demand, the continuous resource demand and the intermittent resource demand, are given, and the process of emergency resource mobilization and termination is also given. So as to improve the accuracy and effectiveness of government control of emergency resource mobilization.
【学位授予单位】：河南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：X4;D63

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