江西省农村物流对农村居民消费与收入影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 14:26

本文关键词：江西省农村物流对农村居民消费与收入影响研究　出处：《南昌大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着新农村建设的不断推进,江西省农村经济不断得到发展,农村居民生活水平不断提高,对农村物流的要求也不断提升。但江西省农村物流的发展现状却与农村经济的飞速前进并不协调,这已成为制约江西省农村经济发展和农村居民生活水平提升的“瓶颈”。主要表现在:农村物流基础设施建设落后,受自然环境制约明显,分布广规模小,区域间发展不均衡等。这些因素极大地阻碍了江西省农村物流的进一步发展,也给江西省农村居民收入和消费水平的提高造成了一定程度的阻碍。本文依据江西省农村物流和农村居民收入与消费水平的实际情况,通过协整分析和构建VAR模型,对江西省农村物流和农村居民收入与消费水平的相互关系进行了分析,并通过脉冲响应函数与方差分解对变量之间的影响进行了深入的剖析。分析结果表明,三者之间存在着长期稳定的协整关系,而在短期内,农村居民收入和消费水平受自身增长惯性影响极为明显,且农村物流业从业人员数量对农村居民收入和消费水平具有正向推动作用,而农村物流业固定资产投资则表现出更大的波动性。针对江西省农村物流发展现状,建议政府加大宣导力度,提高乡村基层工作人员的物流意识;加强农村物流基础设施建设水平,构建高效广泛的农村物流网络;推进农村物流信息服务平台建设,推广农村物流新技术;创新农村物流运作模式,培养农村物流人才,加强农产品质量监管,并及时出台各项扶持政策,以促进江西省农村物流健康发展,为农村居民收入和消费水平的提高创造良好的环境和条件。
[Abstract]:With the development of the new rural construction, the rural economy of Jiangxi Province has been continuously developed, and the living standards of rural residents have been improved. But the development of rural logistics in Jiangxi Province is not in harmony with the rapid development of rural economy. This has become a "bottleneck" that restricts the development of rural economy and the improvement of living standards of rural residents in Jiangxi Province. The main performance is that the construction of rural logistics infrastructure is backward, restricted by the natural environment, and widely distributed in a small scale. These factors greatly hinder the further development of rural logistics in Jiangxi Province. It has also caused some obstacles to the improvement of income and consumption level of rural residents in Jiangxi Province. This paper is based on the actual situation of rural logistics and rural residents' income and consumption level in Jiangxi Province. Through cointegration analysis and construction of VAR model, this paper analyzes the relationship between rural logistics and rural residents' income and consumption level in Jiangxi Province. The effects of impulse response function and variance decomposition on the variables are deeply analyzed. The results show that there is a long-term stable cointegration relationship between the three variables, and in the short term. The income and consumption level of rural residents are significantly affected by their growth inertia, and the number of rural logistics practitioners has a positive impact on the income and consumption level of rural residents. The fixed assets investment in rural logistics industry is more volatile. In view of the current situation of rural logistics development in Jiangxi Province, it is suggested that the government should strengthen propaganda and improve the logistics awareness of rural grass-roots workers. Strengthen the level of rural logistics infrastructure construction and build an efficient and extensive rural logistics network; Promoting the construction of rural logistics information service platform and popularizing new rural logistics technology; Innovation of rural logistics operation mode, training of rural logistics talents, strengthening the quality of agricultural products supervision, and timely introduction of various supporting policies to promote the healthy development of rural logistics in Jiangxi Province. To improve the income and consumption level of rural residents to create a good environment and conditions.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.8;F326.6;F224

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