内蒙古牧民收入影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-25 23:16

本文关键词： 牧民收入原因分析影响因素多元线性回归　出处：《内蒙古大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：内蒙古自治区已经进入减贫及全面建设小康社会的冲刺阶段,而"三牧"问题是其主要内容之一,其中牧民收入问题是"三牧"问题的核心。作为牧区主体,牧民生活水平的提高是解决"三牧"问题的必要途径。因此,牧民收入增长对其生活水平提高,缩小城乡收入差距,实现牧区的可持续发展有着重要意义。本文通过对内蒙古牧民收入现状及牧民增长缓慢原因分析发现,其原因主要有以下三个方面:畜产品销售渠道单一、价格下降;劳动力老龄化普遍、家庭收入来源较少;生产成本、生活费用高等。通过对2014-2016年连续三年对阿拉善左旗、陈巴尔虎右旗及阿巴嘎旗的实地调研数据回归分析,结果表明:家庭劳动力平均年龄、非劳动力人数、是否有银行或民间贷款且用于生产及是否需要拉水等4个变量与牧民收入显著负相关,即老龄化、慢性病及其供养学生、借款、水资源等都是牧民收入增长的制约因素。而是否了解本土知识、家庭人均草场量、是否轮牧、是否有打草场、是否参与生态奖补政策等5个变量与牧民收入显著正相关,说明传统知识的运用、饲养规模、饲养方式及生态奖补政策等都是促进牧民收入增加的因素。同时,劳动力平均受教育水平,家庭劳动力数量,生产性投入占总支出比例及是否为嘎查干部等4个变量对牧民人均纯收入的影响不显著,即现阶段牧区经济还没有改变传统经营方式,教育、生产要素投入效果不显著,不能发挥其提高收入的最佳作用。因此,改善牧民生活条件和社会福利的同时,应充分利用发挥其潜力与能力,以促进其收入的增长。
[Abstract]:Inner Mongolia Autonomous region has entered the stage of poverty reduction and building a well-off society in an all-round way, and the issue of "three pastoralists" is one of its main contents, in which the income of herdsmen is the core of the problem of "three pastoralists", which is the main body of pastoral areas. The improvement of herdsmen's living standard is the necessary way to solve the problem of "three pastoralists". Therefore, the increase of herdsmen's income will improve their living standard and narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas. It is of great significance to realize the sustainable development of pastoral areas. Through the analysis of the income status of pastoralists in Inner Mongolia and the reasons for the slow growth of herdsmen, it is found that there are three main reasons: the single marketing channel of livestock products. Falling prices; The aging of labor force is common and the source of household income is less; Cost of production, high cost of living. Through the 2014-2016 three consecutive three years of Alashan left Banner, Chen Balhu right Banner and Abaga Banner field research data regression analysis. The results showed that the average age of the family labor force, the number of non-labor force, whether there were bank or private loans and whether they needed to pull water or not were negatively correlated with herdsmen's income, that is, aging. Chronic diseases and their support for students, loans, water resources are all constraints on the income growth of herdsmen. Whether participate in the ecological award policy and other five variables and herdsmen income were significantly positive correlation, indicating that the use of traditional knowledge, feeding scale, feeding methods and ecological policy are all factors to promote the increase of herdsmen's income at the same time. The average education level of labor force, the number of family labor force, the proportion of productive input to total expenditure and whether Gacha cadres have no significant influence on the per capita net income of herdsmen. That is, the pastoral economy has not changed the traditional management, education, factors of production input effect is not significant, can not play its best role in improving income. Therefore, improve herdsmen's living conditions and social welfare at the same time. Full use should be made of its potential and capacity to promote the growth of its income.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F323.8

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