家庭化流动对农民工城市消费的影响效应研究

发布时间：2018-05-09 09:12

  本文选题：家庭化流动 + 举家外出　； 参考：《现代经济探讨》2017年09期

【摘要】：农民工举家外出已成为城乡劳动力流动的一个新趋势,而举家外出是否对农民工在务工地的消费产生影响?基于中国家庭收入调查数据(CHIP2013),利用OLS回归和分位数回归方法,估计了家庭流动模式对农民工年消费支出的影响。研究发现:家庭化流动显著提升了农民工在城市的消费水平,越接近举家外出,农民工家庭在城市的消费支出越大,且不受家庭消费水平高低的影响。同时,研究也证实了持久性收入假说,即收入是影响农民工家庭消费的主要因素,而农民工家庭的消费行为与储蓄行为之间存在一定的替代效应,但替代效应并不强。研究的政策含义在于,要通过释放农民工需求来扩大内需必须切实解决农民工持久性迁移特别是家庭持久性迁移问题。
[Abstract]:Migrant workers' family going out has become a new trend of urban and rural labor flow, and whether the whole family going out has an impact on the consumption of migrant workers in the work place? Based on the data of Chinese household income survey (CHIP2013), this paper estimates the influence of household mobility pattern on the annual consumption expenditure of migrant workers by using OLS regression and quantile regression. The study found that the family mobility significantly improved the consumption level of migrant workers in the city, the closer the family went out, the greater the consumption expenditure of migrant workers families in the city, and not affected by the level of household consumption. At the same time, the study also confirms the hypothesis of persistent income, that is, income is the main factor affecting the consumption of peasant workers' families, and there is a certain substitution effect between the consumption behavior and saving behavior of migrant workers' families, but the substitution effect is not strong. The policy implication of the study is that in order to expand domestic demand by releasing the demand of migrant workers, we must solve the problem of persistent migration of migrant workers, especially the persistent migration of families.
【作者单位】： 中国人民大学劳动人事学院;广东金融学院劳动经济与人力资源管理系;广东省社会科学院;
【基金】：2016年教育部人文社会科学项目“务工地居住分层、家乡住房投资与农民工持久性迁移:作用机制与政策路径”(项目编号:16YJC790107) 2014年广东省哲学社会科学规划“产业升级驱动下珠三角农民工在职培训供需匹配分析及培训模式创新研究”(项目编号:GD14XGL38) 2014年广东省自科基金项目“城市居住抉择、住房保障与广东农业转移人口市民化:机理与实证研究”(项目编号:2014A030310499)
【分类号】：F126.1;F323.6
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本文编号：1865434