我国对中亚国家直接投资的母国产业升级效应研究

发布时间：2018-04-15 06:16

本文选题：供给侧结构性改革 + 对外直接投资　；参考：《经济纵横》2017年06期

【摘要】：当前,加强对中亚国家的直接投资不仅是"丝绸之路经济带"建设的必然要求,也是国内实施"三去一降一补"供给侧结构性改革的现实选择。选取2003~2014年我国与中亚五国国别数据,对我国对中亚国家直接投资的母国产业升级效应进行实证检验。结果表明,我国对中亚国家的直接投资,通过产业转移效应及技术进步效应有效促进了母国产业结构升级。此外,我国扩大对中亚国家出口规模、中亚国家汇率波动对国内产业结构优化升级具有积极影响,而现阶段我国从中亚进口以及中亚国家对华投资对国内产业升级也存在一定负向影响。应从深化区域贸易合作、科学选择对外投资产业、推进金融合作以及加强政策指导与技术创新等方面推动我国向中亚国家直接投资、提升母国产业国际竞争力。
[Abstract]:At present, strengthening direct investment in Central Asian countries is not only an inevitable requirement for the construction of "Silk Road economic belt", but also a realistic choice for domestic implementation of supply-side structural reform.Based on the country data of China and five Central Asian countries from 2003 to 2014, the paper makes an empirical test on the upgrading effect of China's direct investment in Central Asian countries.The results show that China's direct investment in Central Asian countries can effectively promote the upgrading of the industrial structure of the home country through the effects of industrial transfer and technological progress.In addition, China's expansion of exports to Central Asian countries and exchange rate fluctuations in Central Asian countries have a positive impact on the optimization and upgrading of domestic industrial structure.At present, China's imports from Central Asia and Central Asian countries' investment in China also have a negative impact on domestic industrial upgrading.It is necessary to promote China's direct investment in Central Asian countries from the aspects of deepening regional trade cooperation, choosing foreign investment industries scientifically, promoting financial cooperation, strengthening policy guidance and technological innovation, so as to enhance the international competitiveness of home countries' industries.
【作者单位】：兰州财经大学中国西北金融研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“大规模外汇储备管理研究”(编号:15ZDA030) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“丝绸之路经济带核心区的货币合作研究”(编号:15YJA790009) 兰州财经大学“青年学术英才计划”的成果
【分类号】：F125

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