中国三大地域间供需双向溢出-反馈效应研究
发布时间:2018-09-07 20:15
【摘要】:研究目标:研究中国东、中、西三大地域间需求侧综合、分需求类型及部门的产出、增加值和劳动报酬溢出-反馈效应,供给侧综合及分部门的产出、消费、资本形成、出口和总需求溢出-反馈效应。研究方法:基于三大区域投入产出模型建立供需双向溢出-反馈效应指标,编制相应投入产出表进行实证分析。研究发现:各地区各类溢出和反馈效应在2002~2010年总体上升,但仍须提高。东部各类溢出乘数明显小于中部和西部。同一区域不同效应的主导部门往往差异很大。不同区域的同类需求侧主导部门通常明显不同,但同类供给侧主导部门却很相似。研究创新:测算和比较需求侧和供给侧多种区域间溢出-反馈效应。研究价值:深化同类研究并为区域协调发展提供科学决策依据。
[Abstract]:Research objectives: to study demand-side synthesis, output by type of demand and sector, value-added and labor reward spillover feedback effect, supply-side synthesis and subsectoral output, consumption, capital formation among the three major regions in China. Export and aggregate demand spillover-feedback effect. Research methods: based on the three regional input-output models, the index of supply and demand two-way spillover and feedback effect is established, and the corresponding input-output table is compiled for empirical analysis. It is found that all kinds of spillovers and feedback effects in different regions increased from 2002 to 2010, but still need to be improved. The spillover multipliers in the east are obviously smaller than those in the central and western regions. The dominant sectors of different effects in the same region tend to vary greatly. Similar demand-side dominant sectors are usually distinct from region to region, but similar supply-side dominant sectors are similar. Research innovation: measure and compare the spillover-feedback effect between demand side and supply side. Research value: deepen similar research and provide scientific decision basis for regional coordinated development.
【作者单位】: 中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所;
【基金】:中国社会科学院学科建设“登峰战略”、国家社会科学基金青年项目“跨区域碳减排的技术经济优化路径及政策研究”(13CJY009)的资助
【分类号】:F124
本文编号:2229305
[Abstract]:Research objectives: to study demand-side synthesis, output by type of demand and sector, value-added and labor reward spillover feedback effect, supply-side synthesis and subsectoral output, consumption, capital formation among the three major regions in China. Export and aggregate demand spillover-feedback effect. Research methods: based on the three regional input-output models, the index of supply and demand two-way spillover and feedback effect is established, and the corresponding input-output table is compiled for empirical analysis. It is found that all kinds of spillovers and feedback effects in different regions increased from 2002 to 2010, but still need to be improved. The spillover multipliers in the east are obviously smaller than those in the central and western regions. The dominant sectors of different effects in the same region tend to vary greatly. Similar demand-side dominant sectors are usually distinct from region to region, but similar supply-side dominant sectors are similar. Research innovation: measure and compare the spillover-feedback effect between demand side and supply side. Research value: deepen similar research and provide scientific decision basis for regional coordinated development.
【作者单位】: 中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所;
【基金】:中国社会科学院学科建设“登峰战略”、国家社会科学基金青年项目“跨区域碳减排的技术经济优化路径及政策研究”(13CJY009)的资助
【分类号】:F124
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1 潘文卿;;中国沿海与内陆间经济影响的溢出与反馈效应[J];统计研究;2012年10期
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