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中国经济迈向中高端发展的效率提升与供给侧改革——2017年经济展望

发布时间:2019-02-22 15:29
【摘要】:预计2017年经济增长仍较为平稳,增长为6.5%。中国经济增长稳定在中高速增长区间,正逐步迈向中高端发展。中国经济迈入中高端发展的关键就是两个效率提升。第一个效率提升的就是劳动生产率的提高。劳动生产率的增长速度直接决定了工资水平提升速度,没有劳动生产率的提升就难以进行人力资本的深化。第二个伴随就是全要素生产率增长及全要素生产率贡献不断提高。全要素生产率是对企业技术进步与配置效率的综合反映的指标,全要素生产率的贡献率视为内生增长比重的测量。中国当前两个效率提升都难以达到预期,甚至出现了下滑趋势,挑战依然严重。中国未来的经济增长目标是在保持经济平稳的基础上,深化供给侧结构性改革,加快效率提升模式的重塑,推动中国经济进入中高端发展。
[Abstract]:Economic growth is expected to remain steady in 2017, at 6.5. China's economic growth is stable in the high-speed growth range, is gradually moving toward mid-high-end development. The key to the development of the Chinese economy in the middle and high-end is the improvement of two efficiency. The first increase in efficiency is the increase in labour productivity. The growth rate of labor productivity directly determines the speed of wage level increase, without which it is difficult to deepen human capital. The second companion is the total factor productivity growth and the total factor productivity contribution unceasingly enhances. Total factor productivity (TFP) is a comprehensive reflection of technological progress and allocation efficiency of enterprises, and the contribution rate of TFP is regarded as a measure of the proportion of endogenous growth. China's current two efficiency improvements are difficult to meet expectations, and even a downward trend, the challenge remains serious. China's future economic growth objectives are to deepen supply-side structural reforms, accelerate the remodeling of efficiency enhancement models, and promote China's economy to enter the middle and high end of the economy on the basis of maintaining a stable economy.
【作者单位】: 中国社会科学院经济研究所;
【分类号】:F124

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